On the eve of Super Tuesday, Joe Biden has lost more and more of his core supporters to Donald Trump, whose candidacy can no longer be legally blocked.
President of the United States Joe Biden the opinion polls look really bad, states the professor Benita Heiskanen From the John Morton Center for North American Studies at the University of Turku.
According to Heiskanen, Biden’s support has decreased mainly in all voter groups that were previously among his core supporters.
– Young people, minorities, women, suburban voters and the educated. Everyone has turned Donald Trump’s side, Heiskanen, who visited in the morning on Tuesday, enumerated.
The candidates’ support will be measured again on Tuesday, when both parties hold primaries in 15 states. On the so-called Super Tuesday, about a third of the votes in the entire election are cast.
As for Biden, the discussion has increasingly turned to the candidate’s age. of the New York Times according to a recent poll, 73 percent of voters believe Biden is too old to be an effective president.
Senior researcher Ville Sinkkonen The Foreign Policy Institute considers Thursday’s State of the Nation speech to be a very important opportunity for Biden to disprove concerns about his age.
– He has the opportunity to show by pulling a perfect speech, so to speak, that he still has the required mental abilities to continue as president of the United States.
On the other hand, the speech is also an opportunity for Biden to highlight the successes of his own administration, which according to Sinkkonen can be found, for example, in the field of economics.
– This is the biggest contradiction: Biden is a very unpopular president in a situation where his legislative successes are relatively large.
There will be no surprises
Nikki Haley picked up his first victory in the Republican primary on Monday, beating Trump in the primary in the nation’s capital, Washington.
Despite Haley’s victory, Tuesday’s election campaign is expected to be quite one-sided. Trump is expected to win the Republican primary in every Super Tuesday state.
Joe Biden is expected to have a similar result in the Democratic primaries.
Ylen US Correspondent Iida Tikan according to, instead of getting excited about the results, the interest is more focused on how the moderate Republicans vote.
– They might give some hint about how Republican voters who hate Trump will vote in the fall.
The legal obstacles to Trump’s candidacy were removed
The United States Supreme Court on Monday unanimously overturned a decision by the Colorado Supreme Court that would have prevented Trump from running for office in the state. The US Supreme Court ruled that the states cannot decide on presidential nominations independently, but these decisions are made at the federal level.
With the decision, the last legal obstacles to Trump’s presidential candidacy have been removed.
According to Heiskanen, the decision was quite expected. He reminds that the division of power in the United States is based on the strict roles of the states and the federal government. In Heiskanen’s opinion, they would have been broken if the states had been able to block Trump’s candidacy.
– The states cannot start interpreting the constitution.
However, Trump’s legal challenges continue. He has been charged with, among other things, illegal possession of state secrets.
Sinkkonen estimates that possible verdicts could affect the funding Trump’s campaign receives. However, the progress of the legal proceedings before the November elections is uncertain.
The actual US presidential election will take place on November 5, 2024.