DIRECT. Legislative 2022: results of polls, withdrawals before the 2nd round

DIRECT Legislative 2022 results of polls withdrawals before the 2nd

LEGISLATIVE RESULTS 2022. As the second round of legislative elections approaches, qualified candidates have already announced their withdrawal, offering victory to their opponent. Clémentine Autain (Nupes) is sure to be re-elected. Latest news, results of polls, analyses… All the news live.

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The essential

  • D-4 before the second round of legislative elections. The result of this election is eagerly awaited, after the announcement of the scores of the 1st round, particularly tight between Together (ENS), the coalition for Emmanuel Macron, and Nupes, the union of the left.
  • This Wednesday, June 15, several trips are planned: Marine Le Pen in Pas-de-Calais, Edouard Philippe in Hauts-de-Seine and Paris, or even that of Éric Dupont-Moretti in Haute-Garonne.
  • While the results of the first round of the legislative elections have already enabled Nupes to win 4 deputies, it is certain to have at least two others: Soumya Bourouaha and Clémentine Autain, candidates in Seine-Saint-Denis, after the withdrawal of their opponents. In Guadeloupe, it is the former minister Marie-Luce Penchard who withdrew in favor of her opponent stamped PS.
  • The latest Harris Interactive Institute poll released on Tuesday credits Together with 257 to 297 MPs. This result could lose the absolute majority to Emmanuel Macron in the National Assembly, set at 289 seats. For its part, the Nupes would make a sensational entry into the Bourbon Palace with 161 to 219 deputies.
  • Follow this very tense inter-round campaign live before the verdict of the legislative elections next Sunday.

LIVE

07:41 – Hello everyone!

Hello everyone and welcome to Linternaute. Four days before the second round of the legislative elections, the campaign is entering its home stretch, as the battle rages between Together, the coalition to offer a majority of deputies to Emmanuel Macron, made up of LREM, MoDem, Horizons and Agir, and Nupes, the union of the left (LFI, EELV, PCF, PS). Results of polls, latest news, comments… Follow this new campaign day with us!

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The legislative results map below is colored according to the candidate who came out on top in the first round. On the fly is displayed the list of qualified candidates for the second round next Sunday. It is possible to zoom in to discover the results of his constituency.

Here is an overview of the national balances resulting from the result of the first round of the 2022 legislative elections, according to the final figures published by the Ministry of the Interior:

  • Nupes (25.66%) thus succeeds in his bet. Jean-Luc Mélenchon did not hide his joy at having so shaken up the camp of Emmanuel Macron. During a press briefing on Sunday evening June 12, he spoke of a “defeated presidential party”. “For the first time in the Fifth Republic, a newly elected president is unable to obtain a majority in the legislative election that follows,” he said jubilantly, brushing aside the less flattering second round seat projections, which “have no meaning except to maintain an illusion”. He called on voters “to surge next Sunday, to definitively reject the disastrous projects of the majority”. This Monday, June 13, the movement even cries out for manipulation by accusing the Ministry of the Interior of not having correctly labeled certain candidates to minimize its score. La Nupes saw four of its candidates elected in the first round: Alexis Corbière in Seine-Saint-Denis, Sarah Legrain, Danielle Obono and Sophia Chikirou in Paris.
  • The Republic on the March (25.75%) will have experienced a mixed first round of the legislative elections: if a candidate is already elected deputy – Yannick Favennec, outgoing deputy renewed in Mayenne – and that all the candidate ministers are qualified for the 2nd round, some are in difficulty. Elisabeth Borne (Calvados), Gabriel Attal (Hauts-de-Seine) and Olivier Véran (Isère) are in a very favorable ballot, but the Minister for Ecological Transition Amélie Montchalin or the Minister of European Affairs Clément Beaune are in an unfavorable ballot. They will have to leave the government in case of defeat. Moreover, in 58 constituencies, the presidential coalition is absent from the second round. On the looming Nupes-RN duels, LREM first indicated that it would position itself “on a case-by-case basis”, but on RTL on Monday, government spokeswoman Olivia Grégoire called for “not to give a single voice for the National Rally”. The absolute majority is far from being acquired in the National Assembly according to the projections made.
  • The National Rally (18.68%) is clearly behind, under 19% at the end of the first round of the legislative elections. But he can believe in the creation of a parliamentary group at the Palais Bourbon. The party of Marine Le Pen, herself qualified for the second round with a large lead in Pas-de-Calais, could have fifteen or twenty elected members of the Assembly.
  • Republicans (10.42%) reach 10% but would be on the way to maintaining a group of 50 to 80 deputies. Eric Ciotti notably qualified for the second round in the Alpes-Maritimes.
  • Reconquest (4.24%), the party of Eric Zemmour, completely missed its bet, like its leader, eliminated in the 1st round in the Var. No Zemmourist candidate qualifies for the second round next Sunday: Guillaume Peltier is relegated to 5th place in Loir-et-Cher, Stanislas Rigault, who was in pairs with Marion Maréchal in Vaucluse, is also eliminated.

The first polls on the second round of the 2022 legislative elections will closely follow the result of the first round. The pollsters will be able to develop estimates thanks to the great balances of this first round and the qualified candidates in each constituency. The surveys of voting intentions will give a more precise overview of the number of seats that each political party will be able to obtain in the National Assembly on 19th June next. Throughout the campaign, Linternaute.com gathered measures of voting intentions in its poll compiler. Discover the first investigations on the 2nd round.

Unlike the presidential election, which benefited from a two-week inter-round campaign, the legislative candidates qualified for the second round have a short week to campaign before the second round, scheduled for June 19 evening Sunday. next. The deadline for submitting applications for the second round is June 14 at 6 p.m. The official campaign will end on Friday June 17 at midnight. Abroad and in French Polynesia, the second round of legislative elections will be held a day earlier than in mainland France. In some overseas departments and collectivities, voters also vote in the legislative elections on the preceding Saturday.

Legislative elections are held by direct universal suffrage, by a so-called “uninominal two-round majority” ballot, in each constituency. The candidate elected at the end of this legislative election and who will inherit one of the 577 deputy seats will be the one who obtained the majority of the votes cast in the second round (and no longer the absolute majority as in the first round). In the event of a perfect equality of votes, the oldest candidate is elected.

As a reminder, to qualify for the second round, a candidate must have received in the first a number of votes at least equal to 12.5% ​​of the number of registered voters in the constituency. If only one or no candidate has obtained the 12.5% ​​of registered votes, the two candidates who came first are qualified for the second round.

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