Journalist Antti Kurra summarizes in a video why the Suwałki corridor is significant for both NATO and Russia.
On Midsummer, the mercenary company Wagner rebelled Yevgeny Prigozhin led against the Russian military leadership. The uprising failed, and Prigozhin and some of his troops were evicted to Belarus.
Dissertation researcher at the University of Tampere, familiar with mercenary armies Mikko Räkköläinen tells that Wagner is now leading mercenary operations in Africa and the Middle East from Belarus.
Prime Minister of Poland Mateusz Morawiecki said last week that more than a hundred Wagner soldiers have moved near the Suwałk Corridor, which separates Russia’s Kaliningrad region from Belarus.
The Suwałki corridor is considered significant, because by taking it over, Russia could cut off the land connection between the Baltics and other NATO countries. However, among other things, the former intelligence chief of the General Staff and the current member of parliament of the coalition Pekka Toveri said last summer in an interview with Ilta-Sanomithat the attempt to take over Suwałk would remain a business in Russia.
Morawiecki suspects that Wagner’s members are trying to infiltrate EU territory by pretending to be migrants.
However, Räkköläinen does not consider such a hybrid operation to be characteristic of Wagner.
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