RECONQUEST. A few days before the first round of the legislative elections, the latest polls suggest little hope for Éric Zemmour and his Reconquest party! to obtain parliamentary seats.
[Mis à jour le 10 juin 2022 à 13h34] New election, new story. After bursting into French political life, Éric Zemmour and his party Reconquête! are now trying to establish themselves permanently on the national territory. Although having finished fourth in the presidential election with 7% of the votes cast, the far-right candidate could well send no deputy to the National Assembly if we are to believe the latest poll by the Elabe Institute for BFM-TV, published Friday, June 10. The Reconquest party! is credited with 4.5% in the polls in the first round of the legislative elections. At the end of the 2nd round, the projections of this survey send three of its candidates, at most, within the hemicycle. Before this first round, Éric Zemmour seems to have lost his bet. Himself a candidate in the 4th constituency of the Var, he could not tread the benches of the National Assembly.
It must be said that the campaign of the former troublemaker of television looks like a long way of the cross. Multiplying the television outings he is used to, the boss of Reconquest! fails to rally the forces of the far right around him. Marine Le Pen and the National Rally even refused any alliance at the start of the race for deputy. So what will happen to this very young political party born less than a year ago? First elements of response this Sunday, June 12th…
Who are the Reconquest candidates for the 2022 legislative elections?
Eric Zemmour tried, in vain, to seal a pact with Marine Le Pen for the legislative elections. If the approach did not succeed in the face of the refusal of the boss of the RN, the deposed presidential candidate did not however invest any pretender to the deputation against his rival, just like against Nicolas Dupont-Aignan and Eric Ciotti. On the other hand, a Reconquest! will be present in almost all constituencies. Among the candidates, some leading figures such asEric Zemmour in person, invested in the 4e constituency of the Var, in Saint-Tropez. Not far from there, the head of Generation Z, Stanislas Rigaultwill try to be elected in the 2e du Vaucluse, helped by his deputy, Marion Maréchal. Reconquête has also invested a few headliners in the Alpes-Maritimes: Philippe Vardon (3e), ex-executive of the RN, Damien Rieu (4e), identity activist, or Denis Cieslik (6e), former head of sponsorships for the presidential election. Otherwise, Guillaume Peltierex-LR, is a candidate, in the 2e constituency of Loir-et-Cher, just like the first mayor to have publicly supported Eric Zemmour, Wolf Wolfin the 4e constituency of Côte-d’Or. The former figure of the Yellow Vests, Benjamin Cauchypresents himself in the 1st of the Aisne, but also the union policeman Bruno Attal in the 14e du Rhône, or even two presidents of Sens commun, Laurence Trochu (1st of Yvelines) and Sebastien Pillard (14e from Paris). Finally, Amaury de Bourbon Parmaa distant descendant of Louis XIV, was invested in the 2e of the Orne.
What result in the legislative polls for Eric Zemmour and Reconquest?
Several polls on voting intentions in legislative elections have been carried out by various institutes. The results evoking the vote of June 12 credit Reconquest! of a maximum score as high as during the 1er round of the presidential election (ie 7%), when it is not lower. The trend of votes cast at national level in favor of candidates on the part of Eric Zemmour is a continuation of the April election. As for the second round, very few candidates invested by the far-right party are expected to enter the National Assembly. Four at most could be in a good position.
Including Eric Zemmour. The president of the formation could climb to the second round according to an Ifop poll for the JDD published on May 21, he who is given in the second round with 24% behind his opponent LREM, Sereine Mauborgne (28%). But he would lose in the second round (47%), according to the results of the survey of 600 people.
What result can Eric Zemmour and Reconquest hope for in the legislative elections?
If the polls give a snapshot of the political landscape at the moment T, they do not predict the vote of the electors. So, what can Eric Zemmour and Reconquest really expect! ? During the presidential election, Eric Zemmour did not exceed 17% in a single metropolitan or overseas constituency. His best scores by constituency? 16.8% in the 4e of Paris, 16.58% in the 8e Alpes-Maritimes and 16.35% in the 14e from Paris. If the trend were to be confirmed, it would be difficult to imagine candidates from his training making it to the second round. Especially since far-right voters will have the choice between the foals of Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour. The latter can however harbor some ambitions in the south-east, on the side of the Var and the Alpes-Maritimes, lands on which he achieved his highest results during the presidential election.