Boris Johnson has endured all the bumps, but now confidence is scarce – five factors that will determine the future of the British Prime Minister

Boris Johnson has endured all the bumps but now confidence

The position of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is not immediately threatened. However, numerous Kohut undermine the viability and credibility of his Conservative Party.

It is not uncommon for the British Prime Minister to vote in a motion of censure.

Representatives of his own Conservative Party gave little approval by 211-248 to the prime minister’s continued party leadership.

The prime minister’s profit margin is 59 percent. It is clearly smaller than the unpopular and with brexit rampant Theresa Mayn four years earlier. He has written about this, among other things The Economist (moving to another service).

We have put together milestones for the near future that could affect Johnson’s position.

Yesterday’s by-election heavy defeat for conservatives i

In the constituencies of Tiverton and Honiton, the Conservatives lost a place the party had held since the 1880s. In the last election, the Conservatives won by a landslide of 24,000 votes and garnered more than 60 percent of the constituency’s votes, but now lost to the Liberal Democrats by 6,000 votes.

In Wakefield, the Labor Party won a clear figure in the constituency it had lost in the Brexit-controlled election in 2019.

Chairman of the Conservative Party Oliver Dowden left his resignation after the defeat of the by-elections.

– We can’t go on like before. Someone has to take responsibility, and I’ve come to the conclusion that in these circumstances, I have no reason to continue in the mission, Dowden wrote in a resignation letter he shared on Twitter.

Opening of the station in Northern Ireland

With the change, Britain wants to make it easier for some food and commodities to move from Britain to Northern Ireland.

The EU opposes the change, it considers the British government’s plans to be contrary to international law.

The new British trade rules are expected to aim to remove import clearances for products that remain in Northern Ireland.

In the future, the import clearance would only be carried out for products exported from Northern Ireland onwards to Ireland, ie to the EU. This would mean that the EU would rely on British customs and reduce the control of the European Court of Justice in the region.

In addition, exporters could choose to comply with EU or British standards.

Opposition officials have accused the government of irresponsibility. The proposal is feared to cause more problems for transport. Instability in Northern Ireland is also feared to increase.

The celebrations of the Corona period are still being studied

British police have closed the investigation into the party. Fines have been imposed on participants, including the Prime Minister.

However, the parliamentary committee is continuing its inquiries into the Prime Minister. It remains to be seen whether Johnson deliberately misled Parliament by commenting on staff parties at Parliament.

If he is found guilty of misrepresentation, he may have to resign.

There is no timetable for the investigation.

The rise in the cost of living is straining the government

The pandemic and the war in Ukraine have also plagued the British economy. The cost of living is also rising rapidly in Britain.

Fuel and food prices are rising.

Rents are also rising. The electricity bill for households will increase again in October. Some households are tough, as gas and electricity prices were only raised by 54% at the beginning of April.

Rising everyday costs are undermining public confidence in the prime minister’s ability to lead the country in a difficult economic climate.

Party meeting in the fall

The Conservatives will convene in early October for a party meeting.

Usually, meetings define policies for the next election. Now they are scheduled for 2024.

If the general mood of the party is that Johnson is too unpopular to lead the Conservatives into the election, challengers may emerge.

Among the potential challengers are, among others, the Foreign Minister Liz Truss and the Minister of Education Nadhim Zahawi.

However, the party assembly does not decide on the status of the prime minister, but in Britain it is in the hands of a parliamentary group.

New vote of confidence?

Under current Conservative regulations, Johnson cannot be put to a vote of no confidence in the next 12 months.

However, the committee responsible for the party presidency may change the rules.

yl-01