Why has football become more predictable?

Why has football become more predictable

The magic of football has always resided in the different, the impossible dribbles, the inexplicable stops. However, in recent times more and more voices are being heard that speak that are being lost. Some talk about the predictability of the game. The causes are varied. From physical to economic.



FOOTBALL, INCREASINGLY MORE PREDICTABLE

Soccer was considered the most unpredictable sport. Without

However, recent studies suggest that it is losing its freshness.

The main reason seems to be excessive monetization and greater

inequality that exists between teams that compete in the same league.

FACTORS AFFECTING INEQUALITY

The advantage of playing at home

and familiarity with the playing field.

The money invested in transfers,

facilities and means.

The effects of travel

and displacements.

Referee bias

and psychological factors.

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FOOTBALL, EVERY TIME

MORE PREDICTABLE

Soccer was considered the sport

more unpredictable. However, recent studies

They suggest that it is losing its freshness.

The main reason seems to be the excessive

monetization and the greatest inequality there is

between teams competing in the same league.

FACTORS THAT AFFECT

TO INEQUALITY

The advantage of playing at home

and familiarity with the playing field.

The money invested in transfers,

facilities and means.

The effects of travel

and displacements.

Referee bias

and psychological factors.

The appearance of new actors in the boxes has allowed some clubs to enter the select group of the great European teams. So, Teams that could not afford to hire the best players have sneaked into the Olympus of the most important clubs in Europe, thanks to new investors. The latest example is Newcastle, although it still does not reach the level of other Premier teams such as Manchester City



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THE PROBLEM OF STATE-CLUBS

The sanctions imposed by UEFA on the so-called state clubs

They were small amounts that were easy to assume. By

which had no impact.

After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Roman Abramovich

He handed over control of Chelsea to the club’s trustees.

Newcastle United is the most recent purchase.

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THE PROBLEM OF

THE STATE-CLUBS

The sanctions imposed by UEFA to

the so-called club-states assumed

small amounts that are easy to assume.

So they had no impact.

After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Roman

Abramovich gave up control of Chelsea

to the club’s trustees. Newcastle

United is the most recent purchase.

In this order of things, the most striking cases are Manchester City and PSG. These two are considered the paradigm of state clubs, A club whose economic resources come from a group or company owned by a sovereign country is considered as such. Although money doesn’t score goals, the players that can be bought with it do. And as a button shows. Of the last four Champions League finals, in three there was one of these considered state clubs.



Why has football become more predictable

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A study carried out by The Royal Society on the predictability of football, through a mathematical model, shows that in the main European leagues there is a direct relationship between the economic power of the clubs with the achievement of more points in national competitions. Precisely, the report itself has also detected that the home factor has lost relevance in proportion as its economic importance has increased.

Why has football become more predictable



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HOW FOOTBALL HAS CHANGED AND HOW THEY CONTRIBUTE

OR NOT THE CHANGES TO WHAT IS MORE PREDICTABLE

MORE AND MORE PHYSICAL POWER

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HOW IT HAS CHANGED

FOOTBALL AND HOW THEY CONTRIBUTE

OR NOT THE CHANGES TO WHATEVER

MORE PREDICTABLE

INCREASINGLY

PHYSICAL POWER

The physique of footballers has been evolving throughout their history. Nowadays it would be unthinkable to see a player with a physique like Ferenc Puskasdespite the fact that the Hungarian, with his talent, won four European Cups, was the top scorer in the Spanish League four times and even won the Silver Boot. Almost a decade ago Guardiola already referred to footballers as athletes and he was right.

The LaLiga Mediacoach team supports with data that currently physical preparation has taken a leap: “Preparation has changed in two aspects. On the one hand, intensity is being prioritized over volume, each time people are running faster, at greater intensity. The determining metrics at the level of conditional performance are those that measure performance at high speeds, we have gone from measuring meters to more than 18km/h to +21 and +24 and even currently +28, accelerations, the ability to repeat efforts are becoming more important…”

On the other hand, strength work is being essential as a fundamental part of injury prevention and the improvement of the footballer. In addition, they highlight the work that is being done specifically in Spain: “The level of physical trainers in Spain is very high. I think that without a doubt we are leading football worldwide when it comes to quantifying and valuing efforts from a qualitative point of view. “Spanish physical trainers work with a series of physical variables that are provided at the League level that are not provided in practically any competition at this level,” they say.

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The automatism of La Volpe

It is a way to get the

ball from behind dodging

the high pressure of the rival team.

To do this, the sides go up,

the centers open to open

space and take out rivals

who go up to press.

The midfielder goes down to occupy

that space between the two

centers and generates a

superiority.

The goalkeeper then has

three possibilities to pass

the ball.

The goalkeeper gives it to the midfielder,

that attracts one of the forwards,

thus freeing one of the centrals

that are open.

In this way with a lateral pass

rival pressure is deactivated

and the team avoids the first line

contrary.

The central one, open to the side,

you have the possibility to search

a vertical outlet on the side.

or inside in the center.

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The automatism of La Volpe

It is a way to get the

ball from behind dodging

the high pressure of the rival team.

To do this, the sides go up,

the centers open to open

space and take out rivals

who go up to press.

The midfielder goes down to occupy

that space between the two

centers and generates a

superiority.

The goalkeeper then has

three possibilities to pass

the ball.

The goalkeeper gives it to the midfielder,

that attracts one of the forwards,

thus freeing one of the centrals

that are open.

In this way with a lateral pass

rival pressure is deactivated and

the team avoids the first line

contrary.

The central one, open to the side,

you have the possibility to search

a vertical outlet on the side.

or inside in the center.

The evolution of training is also one of the reasons that some give to justify that this sport is becoming more predictable. One of the reasons may lie in the automation. In the world of football it is considered automatisms a series of movements that are performed during training to generate or overcome certain game situations during a match. Repetitive training of these types of actions allows players to know what they have to do if certain match situations arise. However, these automatisms, for detractors, are a way of restricting or making the game predictable. At LaLiga’s Mediacoach they understand this position, but they have another prism that shows the positive dimension of this type of training. “This type of work in training sessions basically allows us to add richness to the game, continue evolving at a tactical level and pose tactical problems to the rival coaching staff.helping to enhance the characteristics of the players and allowing individual performance to increase, thus increasing collective performance, whether with the ball or without the ball,” they explain.

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The automatism of La Volpe

evolved to another version that

they made subsequent coaches

to get the ball from behind

overcoming high blood pressure

of the rival team.

To do this, the sides go up, one

of the central ones opens, the other

placed in the center and midfield

occupies a position on the side

that is free. The objective is the

same as that of La Volpe.

The goalkeeper gives it to the midfielder,

that attracts one of the forwards,

thus freeing one of the centrals

that are open.

The goalkeeper gives it to the midfielder

on one of the sides, while

the extremes look for a place in

inside. The midfielder passes to

lateral or inside, with a pass

vertical.

1697352244 18 Why has football become more predictable

The automatism of La Volpe

evolved to another version that

they made subsequent coaches

to get the ball from behind

overcoming high blood pressure

of the rival team.

To do this, the sides go up, one

of the central ones opens, the other

placed in the center and midfield

occupies a position on the side

that is free. The objective is the

same as that of La Volpe.

The goalkeeper gives it to the midfielder,

that attracts one of the forwards,

thus freeing one of the centrals

that are open.

The goalkeeper gives it to the midfielder

on one of the sides, while

the extremes look for a place in

inside. The midfielder passes to

lateral or inside, with a pass

vertical.

The most classic automation is by Ricardo La Volpe. This Argentine coach was the first who worked with his team to have the midfielder go down to help the center backs to get the ball and avoid high pressure from the rival. Its effectiveness and novelty made many coaches start practicing it and currently any grassroots football school uses it. As a result of automation lavolpiano, Other coaches have been adapting the release of the ball, but with the same idea: a numerical superiority to attack and take off the high pressure of the rivals. One of the latest versions of this type of play is the one that uses the goalkeeper as one of the three in charge of serving the ball. Without a doubt, a new facet for goalkeepers.



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EVOLUTION OF GOALKEEPERS

The goalkeeper has the maximum responsibility on the field of play.

A mistake in that position causes, in 99% of the cases, a goal against.

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EVOLUTION OF GOALKEEPERS

The goalkeeper has the ultimate responsibility

within a playing field.

A failure in that position causes, in 99%

of the occasions, goal against.

In this way, it is seen that The figure of the goalkeeper is possibly the one that has evolved the most and is becoming less and less predictable. His figure is in charge of avoiding rival goals, although, little by little, he has been included in other aspects of the game. So much so that Mediacoach analyzes that “now it is very common to see how the goalkeeper is used to generate superiority, it is key to being able to add and start generating advantages when the rival team presses high. Even more so with the current change in the rule that allows field players to be received inside the area and facilitates short exits.

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