SURVEY EXCLUDED. Linternaute’s great barometer on the 2022 presidential election measures French people’s opinion of Emmanuel Macron’s rivals each month. This month, a zoom is made on the way in which the French judge his political record.
Every month and exclusively for Linternaute.com, the international research institute YouGov asks a representative sample of the French population about the 2022 presidential election. Which personalities would do better than Emmanuel Macron as President of the Republic? What are citizens’ expectations for this campaign? Discover the lessons from the 16th wave of our major monthly barometer of the 2022 presidential election, conducted from April 4 to 5, 2022.
The first round of the presidential election is this Sunday, the second on April 24. And the French are rather inclined to think that the current head of state will not be replaced on this date. As the election approaches, our poll shows that the French are more likely to think that Emmanuel Macron will be returned to the Elysée.
April 2022 barometer
Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected in 2022?
The French, a few days before the presidential election, are more likely to think that the head of state will be re-elected for a second term than the opposite.
Who would make a better president than Emmanuel Macron?
This is the main lesson of our barometer, updated every month: for the sixteenth consecutive month, no other candidate for the 2022 presidential election is considered as potential “better President of the Republic” than Emmanuel Macron, according to the surveyed. But the answers concerning Marine Le Pen deserve an important point: according to this poll, a majority of French people (51%) consider that the far-right candidate would make either “a better president” or “a president neither better nor less good”. For Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 43% think he would either “a better president” or “a president neither better nor worse” and 9% don’t “don’t know”. Scores which seem to highlight that these two candidates do not compose – or no longer – with a glass ceiling preventing them from embodying political alternation at the head of state.
The French want a new political offer for the presidential election and unique candidacies
49% of French people would have liked a “new political current” to emerge for this presidential election, 50% would have liked to see “a new political personality” emerge. The French seem to want the lines to move.
A pronounced disengagement from politics
Another lesson from our barometer confirms citizens’ mistrust and sometimes discouragement in the face of politics. Almost one in two French people feel “disengaged from politics” (47%).
The seven subjects which are most taken into account when voting will be social protection (47%), insecurity (30%), employment (29%), immigration (29%) the environment (28 %), education (24%) and taxes (20%).
Current question: how do the French judge the results of Emmanuel Macron?
Methodology: the survey was carried out among 1,006 people representative of the French national population aged 18 and over. The survey was conducted online, on the YouGov France proprietary panel from March 14 to 16, 2022. To find out more about this study, contact YouGov here
voting intentions
If YouGov and Linternaute offer you a monthly barometer on the 2022 presidential election, other institutes carry out traditional surveys of voting intentions. We report the results of these studies below.
Please note that polls of the intention to vote do not constitute forecasts of the presidential election, but provide a snapshot of public opinion at a given moment, likely to evolve according to the dynamics of the campaign.