The kick-off has been given. On Thursday June 6, the Dutch launched four days of elections across the European Union to elect 720 MEPs. The opportunity to take an overview of the political forces present in the different member countries of the European Union.
The PVV big favorite in the Netherlands
In the Netherlands, it is unsurprisingly the Freedom Party (PVV) of Geert Wilders, which came first in the November legislative elections, which should obtain the most seats in the European Parliament.
In the latest polls, the far-right political group accounts for 21.3% of voting intentions. An unprecedented breakthrough for the eurosceptic and anti-immigration party, which only obtained 3.5% of the votes cast in 2019.
June 8 and 9: Fratelli d’Italia prances in the lead
Similar scenarios are observed elsewhere. In Italy for example, where the nationalist right-wing list Fratelli d’Italia, led by Giorgia Meloni, is in the lead with nearly 26.5% in the polls. An increase of twenty points compared to the 2019 results, which could allow the President of the Council to send some 22 MEPs, compared to 6 currently.
A success which contrasts with the collapse of La Lega, its partner within the government coalition, but adversary within the framework of the Europeans. The party of Matteo Salvini, ally of Marine Le Pen, which gathered 34.8% of the votes in 2019, stagnates at 8.6% in voting intentions.
June 9: in Germany, the CDU has the advantage
Although relative, the German far-right AfD party is also making progress. Coming out of the 2019 poll at 11%, he is this time placed second with 14.8%. This is almost half as much as the CDU (center right), which reached 29.6% of voting intentions in a poll published Monday April 3.
Furthermore, German environmentalists are in difficulty. While they obtained 20.5% of the votes in 2019, this year they are struggling at 14%. A prospect, however, less gloomy than in France, where EELV, which is dangerously approaching the 5% mark, may well not send deputies to Strasbourg.
June 9: in Hungary, Orban’s list at the top
In Hungary, only two lists are currently on course to win seats in the European Parliament. That of Fidesz, the far-right party of Prime Minister Viktor Orban, which tops the polls, with no less than 32% of voting intentions. And that of Tisza, a populist political group which has attracted several former Fidesz executives and which is approaching the 20% mark according to the latest polls.
Far ahead of the other lists which fail to rise above the 5% mark. This is particularly the case for the center-left alliance, which is slipping at 4% in the polls.
June 9: the left in the lead in Spain
It is clear that the left-wing lists are the poor parents of these European elections. The Spanish left, however, is an exception. The socialists of the PSOE, in power in the Iberian Peninsula, actually come out on top with 32.4% of voting intentions, three points more than the center-right political party, the PP.
Unlike its European counterparts, the far-right Vox party is lagging behind, at only 10.5%. Here again, an exception on the Old Continent.