THE PEN. Marine Le Pen should be re-elected MP in her constituency of Pas-de-Calais. His gaze is now on the number of seats that the RN will obtain in the National Assembly.
Look for a legislative result near you
[Mis à jour le 17 juin 2022 à 12h27] Qualified in the second round of the legislative elections in the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais, Marine Le Pen should, in all likelihood, be renewed in her mandate as deputy. Leader of the National Rally, she obtained no less than 54% of the votes in the first round, but must still return to the polls this Sunday, June 19, the quorum of votes cast in her favor having been less than 25% of those registered. . Marine Le Pen is particularly ambitious. Her re-election is not in much doubt, which is why she has focused on campaigning nationally, rather than in her constituency.
Chaining media appointments in recent days, she was particularly offensive on the air of France Inter this Thursday, June 16, 2022: “I would find it scandalous and deeply undemocratic that the RN does not have at least 60 seats, because that 60 seats is a full-fledged opposition. It is an opposition that has all the tools offered by the Constitution to be able to do the essential opposition work in a democracy.” Arrived in first position in 108 constituencies in the first round of the legislative elections, the candidates of the National Rally could make their entry in numbers at the Bourbon Palace according to Marine Le Pen: “I think that we can snatch dozens of seats” in the Assembly.
For now, the polls are not so optimistic for the RN. The latest survey published Friday, June 17 by Ipsos-Sopra Steria for Radio France and France Televisions credits the far-right party with 20 to 50 deputies. This would allow the Rassemblement to form a group in the National Assembly (at least 15 deputies), but would not fully represent the political color of the country according to the RN candidate. In question ? The voting method, according to Marine Le Pen, as she recalled at the microphone of France Inter: “This voting method worked when there were two big blocks, at the time the right and the left. Today we we are in a tripolarization and consequently this voting method is becoming more and more iniquitous. In the opinion of RN leaders, a proportional election of deputies would be fairer: “The RN would have 131 deputies, that is to say the largest group in the Assembly ahead of that of Emmanuel Macron.”
Marine Le Pen alone against Nupes et Ensemble!
Marine Le Pen’s objectives have been revised upwards since the end of the campaign for the first round of the legislative elections, but competition is fierce against the coalition of the left and that of the presidential majority, which have imposed themselves in the lead with eight points. advance. To reverse the trend, the leader of the National Rally presents the far right as the only alternative against “Emmanuel Macron [qui] is the deconstructor from above and Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the deconstructor from below”. And the MP for Pas-de-Calais added: “I think that Together! and the Nupes are movements that will not respond to the fundamental problems of the French”, at the 20 Hours of France 2 June 14. But the attacks that politics multiplied before the first round of legislative elections on its opponents and their program, follow the defense and promotion of the RN. “It is fundamental that the RN has a powerful group in the Assembly otherwise the problems of immigration, insecurity and Islamism will disappear”, defends the frontist before slipping again a spade at the false opponent Nupes to Emmanuel Macron according to Le Pen’s daughter: “We need a real opposition because Jean-Luc Mélenchon who calls himself an opponent of Macron helped to get him elected [à la présidentielle]. Whether [l’insoumis] had not called to vote Macron, he would not have been elected. When we get someone elected, we are not the opponent”. After such a speech, Marine Le Pen advocates the blank vote in all the constituencies which are preparing a duel Nupes – Together! in the second round of the legislative elections.
Opposite, the Nupes and Ensemble! hold the same speech and the two coalitions exclude the RN vote in the second round, like Alexandrine Pintus, unsuccessful candidate for the presidential majority against Marine Le Pen who indicated in a communicated on the evening of June 12 than in his constituency: “The choice is between the extremes and the blank vote”. Since the start of the campaign between two rounds, the executive through the voice of its spokesperson, Olivia Grégoire, or its Prime Minister, Elisabeth Borne, hammers: “Not a voice at the National Rally”. Calls likely to influence the vote carryover of the voters of Ensemble! and to curb Marine Le Pen’s ambition to be re-elected and to form a strong group in the hemicycle.
What result can Marine Le Pen hope to have in the legislative elections?
In Hénin-Beaumont and in the 11th district of Pas-de-Calais, Marine Le Pen is on conquered ground. The candidate is calm about her potential victory in the legislative elections. Marine Le Pen obtained 53.96% of the votes at the end of the first round this Sunday, June 12, 2022. Despite everything, this figure would not be enough to ensure victory in one round. She faces in this constituency the candidate of Nupes, Marine Tondelier (23.43%), and that of the presidential majority, Alexandrine Pintus (12.32%). These figures confirm the results of Marine Le Pen during the last elections in her stronghold. In the first round of the presidential election, Marine Le Pen obtained 45.1% of the vote with 25 points ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon and 28 over Emmanuel Macron in his constituency. She also won the second round with 63.4% of the vote.
Marine Le Pen, candidate for the 2022 legislative elections
If she took the time to announce it, Marine Le Pen is officially a candidate in the legislative elections and is seeking a second term in the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais, that of her stronghold of Hénin-Beaumont. It was first Jordan Berdella who affirmed the candidacy of the leader of the National Rally during a trip to Fréjus on April 28. A few days later, the confirmation came from the main interested party.
Marine Le Pen, who put forward the argument of the grassroots campaign and proximity to the French during the presidential campaign, could not give up her role as MP for Pas-de-Calais. Above all, after her defeat in the presidential election, she could not deprive herself of the last means at her disposal to weigh in national politics: a seat and an RN group in the National Assembly. The politician therefore hopes to obtain a sufficiently powerful group within the hemicycle to block certain reforms by Emmanuel Macron. At a meeting in Hénin-Beaumont on June 5, Marine Le Pen dangled the possibility of obtaining more than a hundred RN deputies: “Potentially, if all our voters come to defend our ideas, we will be able to send between 100 and 150 deputies to the next assembly”. A scenario which is based on the good results of the presidential candidate, “we gathered 50% of the voices in more than 150 constituencies and 55% of the votes in more than 90 constituencies”.
Did Marine Le Pen miss her campaign?
Marine Le Pen and more broadly the National Rally missed out on their campaign before the first round of the legislative elections. The deputy claims to have carried out a field campaign “soberly but seriously”, only it was only two weeks before the election that the far right passed the second. And the week before the vote in particular. Between June 8 and 11, Marine Le Pen chained trips and speeches in Loiret, Perpignan, Hérault and finally in Hénin-Beaumont in Pas-de-Calais. The northern commune also hosted the candidate’s only campaign rally on June 5.
With the approach of the second round Marine Le Pen does not want to repeat the same mistakes and very quickly returned to the campaign. Another lesson learned the hard way before the first ballot: set ambitious goals. Marine Le Pen is aiming for the election of a hundred deputies, i.e. a victory for the RN in half of the constituencies where the party is still in the race. At the start of the campaign, the situation was not the same since Marine Le Pen first aimed for the simple constitution of a group of 15 deputies, before considering the formation of a full-fledged group with 60 elected officials. going so far as to attempt everything five days before the election by evoking a group of 150 deputies in the Assembly. A very unlikely scenario from the start. This lack of ambition or even this defeatism and the absence of the candidate during the first weeks of the campaign were seen as signs of weakness but above all as a very bad strategy. Especially since once in the campaign, Marine Le Pen has multiplied the attacks against the left-wing coalition compared to a “generalized ZAD” and the presidential majority. A tactic visibly resumed for before the second round.
What is Marine Le Pen’s program for the legislative elections?
Marine Le Pen takes the same line as that defended during the presidential campaign. The proposals and subjects that she and the other candidates of the RN intend to bring to the National Assembly are modeled on the presidential program of the far right. And, as during the presidential campaign, one of the subjects that comes up most often a few days before the vote in the legislative elections is purchasing power, at the heart of the news when inflation has climbed by five points, for which Marine Le Pen defends a reduction or even an abolition of VAT and shoots the temporary aid and the energy or food checks put in place by the Head of State. A law for the purchasing power must precisely be voted at the end of June at the end of the legislative according to the announcements of the government. Retirement is also a point of friction between the LREM group and allies and that of the RN because if the first defends the reform of the pension and the postponement of the age to 64 or 65 years, the second militates for a progressive system allowing the retirement between 60 and 62 for long careers and later depending on the age of entry into working life.