Russia “will declare war” to NATO “, and particularly to Europe, warned the Ukrainian president at the Munich on security conference. Some countries are on the front line against a possible Russian offensive.
Europe would be in the viewfinder of Russia. During the Munich Security Conference on Friday, February 14, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, at war with the Russian forces for almost three years, warned European countries against an attack that the Kremlin could orchestrate. A military escalation would be in preparation from the Bélarus, the Allied country of Moscow which had already helped to organize the invasion of Ukraine. “Russia is preparing 15 divisions,” said Volodymyr Zelensky who says “to clearly understand what the Russians will do with the Belarus”.
The threat of a Russian attack in Europe is real according to the Ukrainian president who admits not to know precisely the target targets. He issues hypotheses based on the proximity of European countries to Russia: “I don’t know who they will attack, but they will do it. Perhaps Ukraine, perhaps Poland, perhaps the Baltic countries”, namely Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.
Warnings repeated by Volodymyr Zelensky on Sunday evening in an interview with the American channel Nbc. This time, there was no longer any question of an attack aimed at one or more border countries, but to attack NATO member countries more broadly: “We think Putin will declare war on NATO” If the United States leaves or decreased its support for the organization, said the Ukrainian president. However, Donald Trump has already threatened to leave the North Atlantic Alliance on December 8, saying that European countries do not finance the organization enough. If the threat came to materialize, it would strengthen the hypothesis of a Russian attack analyzes the head of state in war: “I do not know if the Russians will want 30% of Europe, 50%, I do not know .
A Russian attack against Europe within 2 years
Before Volodymyr Zelensky, it was the Danish intelligence services that alerted Russia’s capacities to attack Europe in A published note February 11. The latter, which are based on their Russian threat evaluation reports, believe that the Kremlin could launch a large -scale offensive against Europe within five years if Moscow “perceives NATO as militarily weakened or politically divided “. An assessment that will greatly depend on the position of Donald Trump concerning the commitment and maintenance of the United States in NATO.
Danish information explains in their note that Russia has been working since 2022 to rebuild its military forces in parallel in Ukraine since 2022, but that since 2024 “This effort has changed in nature, going from reconstruction to intensified military strengthening in order to be able to lead an equal fight against the NATO forces. ” A maneuver allowed by the support of China, Iran and North Korea. According to the calculations of the Danish services, Russia is in a favorable position to attack the three Baltic countries by two years after the end of the war in Ukraine, before a larger operation on Europe.
Europe called to prepare
These warnings invite European countries to organize themselves to ensure the safety of their borders and more broadly on the continent, regardless of the support of the United States. Hence the emergency organization of a meeting of the main European military forces this Monday, February 17 in Paris on Monday, February 17. The investments of each country in its military means and in those of NATO should be discussed, as well as aid measures in Ukraine. Defending the sending of additional aid to his country, Volodymyr Zelensky assured that supporting Ukraine returned more than ever to protect Europe from the Munich conference: “What we already see is that Europe will further strengthen its unity around Ukraine, because it is its protection.