The Russian leadership paints a picture of a war against the entire West as a basis for a partial movement

EPN in Eastern Ukraine People are very worried This will

President of Russia Vladimir Putin reacted to recent setbacks by its forces in Ukraine in characteristic fashion: by raising the stakes.

The announcements about the show votes in the occupied regions and the laws supporting the movement proposals approved by the Duma at a fast pace came in one burst yesterday.

Instead, Putin’s speech confusingly had to wait until Wednesday morning.

By rapidly announcing decisions yesterday and today, the Russian leadership is trying to create an image of decisive action.

In fact, the Kremlin has been hesitating for a long time. For nearly seven months, the Russian army has been at war at peacetime strength. Official Russia has downplayed the war of aggression, calling it a “military special operation”.

Initially, the strength of the forces sent to the operation seemed insufficient to conquer a country the size of Ukraine. This is precisely why many experts suspected for a long time before February 24 that Russia was not really planning a large-scale attack.

In announcing the partial implementation of the move, Putin at the latest indirectly admitted that the “special military operation” has not gone according to plan.

That fact had become glaringly clear at the latest at the point when Ukraine advanced strongly in the Kharkiv region.

Jyrkä’s nationalist circles raised a loud cry about the weak military success of the armed forces on the channels of the Telegram messaging service. Partial mobilization will perhaps calm the mood a little at the deep end of the Russian political spectrum.

Putin needs someone to blame for the failure and for him it is the West that wants to destroy Russia.

Putin’s rhetoric towards Western countries has been harsh in the past, but now he says that Russia is at war against the “collective West”.

To the West, Putin repeated the warning about nuclear weapons – in his speech, he implied that Western politicians have threatened Russia with nuclear weapons.

When Russia, after the “referendums” it staged, announces that it will annex the occupied territories in Ukraine, the territorial integrity of Russia, repeated by Putin in his speech, extends to mean these territories as well. It could mean the danger of a new escalation.

At the same time, the propagandists of the Russian state television channels have been brutalizing Russia’s nuclear facilities throughout the operation.

Therefore, the Russian leadership still did not announce a general campaign, but 300,000 reservists is a large number of people to take into the military.

The war begins to penetrate more and more to the lives of ordinary Russians. In the past, Russia had lived a kind of double life: the war directly affected the poor men of the remote areas, who made up a large part of the troops sent to the front. At the same time, the rest of the country has tried to live as if in peace.

This was most blatantly visible when Moscow celebrated the city’s 875th anniversary and Putin praised the Ferris wheel erected in the capital. At the same time, Russian troops retreated in the Kharkiv area.

The Kremlin is now taking a risk. Even a partial movement may begin to shake Russians awake from the political passivity that has enabled Putin’s long reign.

The first signs of movement are already visible. The opposition movement Vesna, or Spring, calls on citizens to demonstrate on the streets of Russian cities against the movement proposal at 19:00 Moscow time.

Since February-March, Russia has not seen any major demonstrations against the war. The rulers suppressed business competition with harsh new laws. Statements contrary to the official line can result in a prison sentence of up to 15 years.

So in the evening we will see if the mobilization is something that will rekindle the resistance.

It is certain that people from Russia will start to flow abroad again. With the now much talked about tourist visas, Russian men avoiding mobilization will probably start arriving in the EU.

The EU should probably consider whether to accept them – or whether to want them in the ranks of the Russian army.

On the other hand, it is very uncertain how quickly the actions will actually affect Russia’s military success.

Many experts have suspected that the mobilization is no simple trick. The new troops must be armed, clothed, fed and trained. They may not be able to help at the front for months.

In any case, there is a turning point in the Russian war.

More on the subject:

Kaikkonen: Russia’s partial support for action did not come as a surprise, the military situation in Finland’s neighboring areas is stable

Pekka Toveri: Russia is not capable of this larger movement

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