The small Patriotic Party is now the king of Estonian politics. It is attracted to both Kaja Kallas’s Reform Party and the Social Democrats as well as the Center and the Conservative People’s Party.
The poisoning of the relationship is based on a simple percentage envy.
According to various measurements, 32-35% of voters support the Reform Party. The popularity of the center of the government partner so far is barely half that, 13-16 percent.
In some measurements, the center ranks only fourth. It is preceded by the largest opposition party, the conservative People’s Party of Ekre. Sometimes the center is even defeated by the non-parliamentary Estonia 200 party.
The government crisis is the prelude to the election
Parliamentary elections will be held in Estonia at the beginning of March next year, nine months from now. The government crisis is part of Ekre’s efforts to improve its position before the actual election battle, especially in the center, but also in the lost support.
A sharp backstage is expected in the coming days. Both the Kallas Reform Party together with the Social Democrats (44 seats in total) and the center together with Ekre (45 seats in total) are trying to form a government.
A smaller Fatherland Party is emerging as a king-maker, with 12 seats in the 101-seat parliament vital to both configurations.