Since May, the policy rate has been at 3.75 percent. But on Tuesday, the Riksbank will give new information – and there are many indications that the interest rate will be lowered.
Double dipping can cause concern
A double cut, i.e. a cut of 50 basis points, would mean that the key interest rate lands at 3.25 percent, but the probability of that is considered to have decreased somewhat since the new inflation figures were presented. Kristin Magnusson Bernard, CEO of the first AP fund believes that a double reduction would also risk creating concern.
Economic Agency
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– That would indicate that the Riksbank sees something that the market has missed. I believe instead in a reduction of 25 percentage points, which will be followed by more in the autumn, she tells the Economic Agency.
Can affect those who want to buy a home
But even a less powerful reduction could be felt for households with a mortgage, where a variable mortgage is affected more quickly than a fixed one.
And those who want to enter the housing market can also be affected.
– Lower interest rates can mean higher housing prices, so it’s not positive for everyone, says Molly Guggenheimer, equity strategist Danske Bank.