The first tanks from Poland arrived in Ukraine today. The fact that it takes months before they can be used is partly due to training and the fact that you have to get the ammunition in place, according to Oscar Jonsson.
During the winter, it has been difficult to determine whether Russia is attacking in full or whether a larger offensive is being planned for the spring.
– My picture is that in recent weeks, Russia has launched smaller offensives in approximately five different directions, but there is no major offensive force in any of them. There are more troops but I don’t see any new surprising direction of attack coming out of this, says Oscar Jonsson.
Possibility of counter-offensive this spring
In recent months, the war has been relatively stagnant, but that could soon change with the help of, among other things, material from the West, according to Oscar Jonsson.
– There is a real possibility for Ukraine if they now manage to hold the bar to launch a larger counter-offensive later this spring, says Oscar Jonsson.