“the epidemic is not over”, the incidence rate is on the rise again

the epidemic is not over the incidence rate is on

COVID. A new “alert note” from the Scientific Council warns: “The epidemic is not over!” The latest coronavirus figures released by Public Health France show that the indicators are on the rise again.

[Mis à jour le 18 mars 2022 à 16h23] The latest coronavirus figures are cause for concern. The incidence rate is again close to 750 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Similarly, the threshold of 100,000 new contaminations was again crossed this Friday, March 18. Indicators that confirm the message sent a few days ago by the Scientific Council.

Thus, in a new “alert note” issued to the government on Friday March 11, but sent to the press on Tuesday March 15, the Scientific Council warns: “The epidemic is not over!” While an increase in the number of daily cases is currently observed, it evokes a multifactorial rebound. Several explanations are thus put forward such as the relaxation of the population or even the start of the school year and the decline of immunity.

The Scientific Council also regrets that the Covid-19 epidemic has taken a back seat since the invasion of Ukraine by Russia. He also warns that “the number of hospitalizations will increase temporarily in the coming weeks” and is more generally concerned about a “trivialization of the epidemic in society”.

Emphasizing the importance of “maintaining protective measures in the elderly, fragile and immunocompromised”, the Scientific Council proposes extending the fourth dose to people aged between 65 and 80 and calls for “accelerating the vaccination of children aged 5 to 11 with a medical risk factor” and to boost prescriptions for the antiviral Paxlovid, which limits the risk of a serious form. For more information on the figures relating to the coronavirus epidemic in France, you can consult our dedicated article.

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According to last epidemiological point from Public Health France (SPF), published Thursday March 17, in week 10, “in week 10, the incidence rate, which was still at a very high level, started to rise again (+25%). The R – effective, greater than 1 (1.11), confirms the acceleration of the circulation of SARS-CoV-2 on the territory”.

  • In mainland France, the incidence rate corrected increases in all age groups and in all regions in week 10 (March 7-March 13, 2022), compared to week 9 . It is 686 (i.e. +25% compared to the previous week, when the incidence rate was 548 positive cases per 100,000 inhabitants). This decrease was observed in all age groups and in all regions, notes SPF in its point. Likewise, the positivity rate (23.4%, +2.7 points) continues to rise in all age groups.
  • The effective reproduction rate of the virus, says R, increased in week 10. It is evaluated at 1.11 (against 0.81 in W09).
  • The number of new hospitalizations of Covid-19 patients fell in H10. The indicators by date of admission showed 5,680 new hospitalizations of patients with Covid-19 in week 10 (compared to 5,979 in S09, i.e. -5%). There are also 578 new critical care admissions of Covid patients in S10, compared to 696 in S09 (i.e. -17%).
  • The Omicron variant of the coronavirus is still the majority in France in S09, suspected and confirmed in 99.9% of Flash survey interpretable sequence screening tests in S09 (preliminary data). The BA.2 sub-lineage, sub-variant of the Omicron mutation, is still on the increase and is the majority (57% of cases in S09).
  • Vaccination against Covid-19 is still progressing: as of March 15, 2022, 79.5% of the total population had received a complete primary vaccination and 73% of those aged 18 and over had received a booster dose (82.6% among eligible people) and 83% among those aged 65 and over. more (91.0% among those eligible).

Follow the evolution of the coronavirus in your municipality thanks to the map below. Click on a department to display the list of municipalities. Also find all the details on this mapping and the complete point by city and by department in our article on the Covid map in France.

Click on a department to consult the list of its cities.

Since mid-October 2020, Public Health France has been communicating incidence data (number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants) at municipal level. The figures are at this stage communicated according to a scale (10, 20, 50, 150, 250, 500, 1000 cases per 100,000 inhabitants). The data is expressed over a rolling week, which means that it is calculated on a D-day from tests carried out between 3 and 9 days previously. To access information relating to the coronavirus in your municipality, enter its name in the search engine or click on its department in the map below.

As a reminder, the incidence rate corresponds to the number of new cases of Covid-19 over a period of one week, compared to the total population of a territory (country, region, department or municipality). This indicator is generally expressed as the number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants. The screening rate gives the number of people having carried out a screening test for the coronavirus out of the total number of inhabitants, during the period. It is also most often expressed per 100,000 inhabitants. Finally, the test positivity rate gives the percentage of positive tests for the coronavirus, compared to the total number of tests carried out over the period.

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