Republican candidate for the 2024 US presidential election, Donald Trump hopes to obtain a second term in the White House. Will the nomination of another opponent to Joe Biden among the Democrats prevent him from doing so?
Donald Trump Will he return to the White House? He hopes so, and more than that, he assures us. “I promise to be the president of all of America, not half of it,” declared Donald Trump, the candidate for the 2024 American presidential election, at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee on Thursday, July 18, after predicting an “incredible victory” on November 5.
Officially nominated candidate by the conservative Republican Party, Donald Trump wants to win the second term that he failed to obtain when he was a candidate for re-election against Joe Biden in 2020. If he prepared to beat the outgoing president, it is ultimately another representative of the Democratic camp that he will face for the presidential election, Kamala Harris in all likelihood even if the candidate supported by the current tenant of the White House will have to confirm her investiture at the Chicago Convention from August 19 to 22. But the change of opponent does not seem to worry Donald Trump who has been spreading attacks against the American vice president since June. “She is so bad, so pathetic” we hear him say in a video published at that time on her social network Truth. “Kamala Harris is just as ridiculous as Joe Biden,” insisted her campaign team on July 22 after Joe Biden’s withdrawal.
A few months before the American presidential election, the polls actually give Donald Trump the advantage. The real estate tycoon has distanced himself from the Democratic camp and the assassination attempt on him on July 13 has strengthened the support of his supporters. Using the image of the martyr, then that of the messianic candidate spared by a “miracle” according to his expression, Donald Trump has revived the hopes of the Republican camp. But the latest studies published in July place the Republican and the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris neck and neck and estimate that the match could be close in the “Swing states” – these states which have a habit of changing sides and determine the outcome of the election.
Donald Trump leads in swing states
The gap is narrowing between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the polls conducted in July. The compilation of the latter gives the Republican with 48% of favorable votes, against 47% for the Democrat. But these national figures are less telling than the trends in each State. The American presidential election is an indirect vote: American voters vote and elect electors who are more or less numerous according to the population rate of each State (the more inhabitants there are, the more electors there are) and the latter vote for a presidential candidate. When a State is won by the Republicans or the Democrats, all its seats are allocated to a single candidate, and it is this number of seats that counts to be elected. You have to win at least 270.
While some states historically and systematically vote for the same camp, others called “Swing states” vary according to the elections and often determine the outcome of the vote: these are Texas (38 electors), Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), Ohio (18), Georgia (16), Michigan (16), North Carolina (15), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10) and Iowa (6). These are the states that have a lot of electors that must be won. And for the moment, according to 270towin, Donald Trump is leading in most of them.