-Politically win-win documentary, not on the practical level.
This is how the Program Director of the Institute for International Affairs is evaluated Arkady Moshes Ukrainian media The Kyiv Independent An agreement text published on Wednesday, which is to be the basis for a mineral agreement between Ukraine and the US.
Moshes emphasizes the first part of the text published by the magazine.
“This is a letter of intent, followed by a financing agreement, which should then be ratified,” Moshes describes.
On Wednesday, Ukraine confirmed information about access to the agreement.
However, Moshes of the Institute of International Affairs is reserved for the usefulness of the entire mineral agreement.
Even if the first document of the agreement is sealed, the second, financing document, is significantly more important and difficult.
– It is difficult to agree on investments in war in war, says the researcher.
In addition, the financing agreement would probably also require ratification from the US Congress, which would not necessarily be a priority, Moshes says.
Investments in new projects
According to Moshes, one of the most important points of the letter of intent published is those that outline the investment of Ukrainian mineral sales in the United States and Ukraine’s joint reconstruction fund.
The letter of intent states that Ukraine would invest 50 % of all income from new, natural resources projects.
The mineral resources that Ukraine had earned before the war would be excluded from the fund. The issue has also been reported Financial Timesaccording to which, for example, Ukraine’s large gas and oil producers Naphtogaz and Ukrnafta would not be involved in the joint fund agreement.
According to Moshes, it is this point that makes the letter of intent benefit from both parties.
From the Ukraine side, the agreement would bring extra time to the war that could be used to continue negotiations on other issues.
– They could hope that the United States will still have weapons that Trump has threatened to stop.
Trump, on the other hand, would benefit from the agreement because it could present access to the agreement as a diplomatic profit.
“At home, they only hear that there is an agreement with Ukraine, and that the Ukrainian government contributed to the fund 50 % of all income,” Moshes opens.
In addition, Trump could, according to the researcher, communicate with the agreement with the opportunity to invest in investments.
However, Moshes repeats his doubts about the enthusiasm of American companies to invest in war in the country.
PR
The leak text will leave room for interpretation in some places.
For example, in a paragraph that outlines that “participants reserve the right to take the necessary measures, to protect and maximize financial interest in the value of their interests.”
Moshes states that the statement is unclear. Although “participants” can be interpreted as meaning both Ukraine and the United States, the “necessary measures” will not be specified.
“In principle, it may refer to military protection if it is interpreted as a action necessary to protect and maximize value,” says Moshes.
However, certain conclusions cannot be drawn due to unclear design, the researcher emphasizes.
US president Donald Trump Confirmed on Wednesday in Ukraine and the United States to sign the first document in the White House on Friday.
However, according to Moshes, the meaning of the entire letter of intent is thin as long as war continues.
-This is a political document, or even a PR document, especially for Trump, he describes the text published by Ukrainian media.