After the first union mobilization against the pension reform which launched hostilities this week, how will the executive manage the situation? More than a million people in the street at the first attempt, this time the conflict over pensions has entered the hard.
This is the end of the observation round and the start of the fight. A majority MP concedes, “ the unions have succeeded in mobilizing, we are heading towards a long, hard movement and then he adds, “ but within the majority, we do not feel under pressure “. A way of saying, we are waiting to see how things will evolve, it is too early to panic. But there are still points of vigilance. A minister very concerned by the movement explains that it is necessary “tomonitor targeted and radicalized actions “, in the viewfinder, power cuts, the blocking of refineries for example. Instructions have also been given to ministers to be very attentive to the fact that texts which produce “ quarrel » do not come out unexpectedly from the drawers of an overzealous administration at this time. Objective: to avoid any source of coagulation of discontent.
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And meanwhile, the text continues its way to the National Assembly
After the presentation of the bill in the Council of Ministers, the parliamentary debate which begins at the beginning of February, it is the next big battle, the one that the government would like to win without drawing 49.3, often assimilated to a passage in force and whose use could revive protest in the streets. The strategy is to use another article of the Constitution, 47.1, which allows budget texts to cut short the debate in the Assembly after twenty days and to send the initial bill directly to the Senate. without the vote having taken place, to then find a final agreement in a joint committee with the help of the Republicans. Even if it means doing a few moved – This is the term used by the majority – on the criteria of hardship or the employment of seniors to which right-wing deputies hold.
Will the reform go to the end whatever the cost?
In any case, this is the intention displayed by Emmanuel Macron himself. ” The president has a deep attachment to carry out this reform, it is an unfinished business of the first five-year term “explains a deputy. Abandoning it would mean renouncing reform for the rest of the mandate. The objective is therefore to maintain and have the text adopted. To avoid being knocked out by the street and to win the retirement game.