Oscars 2023: does the BAFTA list really allow you to know the favorites?

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The full list of 2023 Oscar nominations

The BAFTAs, the award ceremony held on February 19, can give a taste of the possible Oscar winners. “In the West nothing new” is thus a big favorite. But is it a reliable indicator?

[Mis à jour le 20 février 2023 à 12h02] Difficult to know in advance which films can triumph at the Oscars, as the awards ceremony has accustomed us to surprises. However, there are certain indicators in order to know the possible winners, and the award ceremonies which precede the high mass of Hollywood are part of it. Among them, we find the BAFTA (British Academy of Film and Television Arts), whose 2023 edition was held this Sunday, February 19. In the west, nothing is new came out a big winner, winning the statuettes for Best Film and Best Director. Cate Blanchette won the BAFTA for Best Actress for Tarand Austin Butler for Best Actor for Elvis. Conversely, Everything Everywhere all at once won only Best Editing.

What to ensure a triumph at the Oscars? Nothing is less sure. While award shows, like the BAFTAs or the Golden Globes, may provide some insight into the favorites of the awards season, the Oscars have given us plenty of surprises in recent years. First, because the BAFTAs largely reward the best of British cinema, obscuring a section represented at the Oscars. In addition, there are differences in the award-winning films in recent years between the BAFTAs and the Oscars. Last year, The Power of the Dog had won the BAFTA for best film, while Coda received the Oscar winner. Ditto in 2020, where Parasite walked away with the Best Picture Oscar while the BAFTAs rewarded 1917. Conversely, the Bafta for Best Actor has been awarded to the same actors who have received the equivalent Oscar since 2020, while there is a change on the actress side in 2022, since Jessica Chastain, winner of the ‘Oscar that year was not nominated for the Bafta.

It is more difficult to draw a similar parallel with the Golden Globes, which distinguishes dramatic films from comedic films, but note that the category “Best Drama Film” followed the BAFTA awards in 2022 and 2020, significantly deviating from the preferences displayed during Oscars. In 2023, they presented their award to The Fabelmans by Steven Spielberg. Anyway, it will be necessary to wait until March 10, date of the 95th ceremony rewarding the best of Hollywood cinema, to be fixed on the list.

The 2023 Oscar nominations

The nominations for the 95th Academy Awards, honoring Hollywood cinema, were announced on January 24. Some feature films are already favorites, such as Everything, everywhere, all at once (which stands out as the front-runner with 11 nominations), The Banshees of Inisherin And In the west, nothing is new (9 nominations each), Elvis (8 nominations) or even The Fabelmans (7 nominations) which dominate in number of citations.

Academy Award for Best Picture

  • In the west, nothing is new
  • Avatar: The Way of the Water
  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Elvis
  • Everything, everywhere, all at once
  • The Fabelmans
  • Tar
  • Top Gun: Maverick
  • Without filter
  • Women Talking

Oscar for Best Director

  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Everything, everywhere, all at once
  • The Fabelmans
  • Tar
  • Without filter

Academy Award for Best Actor

  • Austin Butler, Elvis
  • Colin Farrel, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Brendan Fraser, The Whale
  • Paul Mescal, aftersun
  • Bill Nighy, Live

Oscar for Best Actress

  • Cate Blanchett, Tar
  • Ana de Armas, Blonde hair
  • Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie
  • Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
  • Michelle Yeoh, Everything, everywhere, all at once

Oscar for Best Supporting Actor

  • Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
  • Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
  • Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Ke Huy Quan, Everything, everywhere, all at once

Oscar for Best Supporting Actress

  • Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Hong Chau, The Whale
  • Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything, everywhere, all at once
  • Stephanie Hsu, Everything, everywhere, all at once

Oscar for Best Animated Film

  • Pinocchio
  • Marcel the Shell with Shoes on
  • Puss in Boots 2
  • The Sea Monster
  • Red alert

Oscar for Best International Film

  • In the west, nothing is new (Germany)
  • Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
  • Close (Belgium)
  • Eo (Poland)
  • The Quiet Girl (Ireland)

Oscar for Best Original Screenplay

  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Everything, everywhere, all at once
  • The Fabelmans
  • Tar
  • Without filter

Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay

  • In the west, nothing is new
  • Glass Onions
  • Live
  • Top Gun: Maverick
  • Women Talking

Oscar for Best Soundtrack

  • In the west, nothing is new
  • babylon
  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Everything, everywhere, all at once
  • The Fabelmans

Oscar for Best Original Song

  • Applause by Sofia Carson Tell it like a woman
  • Lady Gaga’s “Hold My Hand” Top Gun Maverick
  • Rihanna’s “Lift Me Up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • “Naatu Naatu” by MM Keeravani, Kala Bhairava and Rahul Sipligunj – RRR
  • “This is a Life” by Son Lux, Mitski and David Byrne – Everything, Everywhere, All At Once

Oscar for Best Cinematography

  • In the west, nothing is new
  • Bardo, false chronicle of some truths
  • Elvis
  • empire of light
  • Tar

Oscar for Best Editing

  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Elvis
  • Everything, Everywhere, all at once
  • Tar
  • Top Gun: Maverick

Oscar for Best Decoration

  • In the west, nothing is new
  • Avatar 2
  • babylon
  • Elvis
  • The Fabelmans

Oscar for Best Sounds

  • In the west, nothing is new
  • Avatar: The Way of the Water
  • The Batman
  • Elvis
  • Top Gun: Maverick

Oscar for Best Visual Effects

  • In the west, nothing is new
  • Avatar 2
  • The Batman
  • Black Panther 2
  • Top Gun 2

Oscar for Best Costume Design

  • babylon
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Elvis
  • Everything, Everywhere all at once
  • A dress for Mrs. Harris

Oscar for Best Makeup and Hairstyling

  • In the west, nothing is new
  • The Batman
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Elvis
  • The Whale

Oscar for Best Short Film

  • An Irish Goodbye
  • Ivalued
  • The Pupil
  • night ride
  • The Red Suitcase

Oscar for Best Animated Short Film

  • The Boy, the mole, the fox and the horse
  • The flying sailor
  • Ice merchants
  • My year of dicks
  • An ostrich told me the world is fake and I think I believe it

Oscar for Best Long Documentary

  • All that breathes
  • All the beauty and the bloodshed
  • fire of love
  • A house made of Splinters
  • Navalny

Oscar for Best Short Documentary

  • The Elephant Whisperers
  • Haulout
  • How do you measure a year?
  • The Martha Mitchell Effect
  • Strangers at the gate

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