Olivier Véran is in the running this Sunday to remain MP for the first constituency of Isère. However, his re-election is not assured. What result for the former minister?
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This Sunday, voters in the first constituency of Isère return to the polls for the second round of the legislative elections. Olivier Véran is among those qualified for this final stage of the vote. However, he finds himself in an unfavorable position facing the New Popular Front candidate, Hugo Prévost. The latter, in fact, obtained 40.19% of the votes cast on June 30 against 33.62% for the former Minister of Health. In third place, the RN candidate, Alexandre Lacroix, collected 18.34% of the votes. A three-way race is therefore taking place this Sunday.
Olivier Véran, who made the fight against insecurity and access to healthcare a priority during his campaign, reacted to the first results. He congratulated the residents for not having “fallen into the trap of the extreme right”. However, he did not hesitate to attack his NFP opponent on X: “with Hugo Prévost, we are not talking about a peaceful student with left-wing ideas: he is a resolute supporter of LFI, sent from Paris by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, where he is blocking his university like a Louis Boyard. In his profession of faith, neither his own photo nor the slightest trace of the first constituency appears. It is simply a leaflet for Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s party, without any consideration, idea or interest for our territory. It would be a catastrophe if he became a member of parliament”.
What result for Olivier Véran in the second round of the legislative elections?
Olivier Véran had resumed his seat as a member of parliament in January 2024 during the cabinet reshuffle, while he had passed through the positions of Minister of Health, Minister Delegate for Relations with Parliament and then Government Spokesperson. Could he pay for his absence or the consequences of his various mandates?
The former minister is, however, a well-known figure in the constituency: he grew up there and studied neurology there. In 2017, he was elected with 68.9% of the vote. In 2022, he won against the Nupes candidate with 55.53% of the votes cast in the second round. Will the left then reverse the situation? In the European elections, the left-wing lists had done well in the constituency: 48% by adding together socialists, rebels, ecologists and communists. The maintenance of the RN candidate could also harm Olivier Véran, dividing the votes. We will also have to see where the votes of the 6.98% who had chosen the LR candidate will go. Will the transfer of votes be more in favor of the RN or the presidential majority represented by Olivier Véran?
Furthermore, according to polls published before the midnight July 5th reserve period, such as the projection above, it is the RN that should obtain the most seats in the National Assembly at the end of the vote, probably more than 200. Next would come the New Popular Front with more than 100 seats and in third position, the presidential majority which would struggle to reach the 100 seat mark. However, these polls represent the trends given at a specific time.