Candidate in the 8th constituency of Essonne, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan has managed to qualify for the second round of the legislative elections. What result for the president of Debout la France?
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan has managed to pass the first round of early legislative elections in the 8th constituency of Essonne. He came in second with 32.96% of the votes cast, just behind the candidate of the New Popular Front Bérenger Cernon with 34.37%. The candidate Divers Droite, attached to the presidential majority, François Durovray follows with 27.38% of the votes, opening the way to a three-way race. The latter, in fact, posted on Twitter: “I want to warmly thank all those who have placed their trust in me. Next Sunday, I offer you the choice of an alternative”. How will Nicolas Dupont Aignan fare in this unprecedented configuration?
In addition to his own candidacy, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan also called for support for the alliance between the National Rally and the LR branch that followed Eric Ciotti, particularly in constituencies where he did not send a candidate. “There will be an experienced government that will be with Jordan Bardella. I say to the French people that it is better not to change course before it is too late for a three-year trial period than to stay with those who killed us,” he declared on BFMTV“I am in total opposition to Macron and Mélenchon. Either the French choose Macron for three years of disaster, or Mélenchon and it will be chaos, or the path of the National Union. Today, I am delighted to see members of the Republicans who support Éric Ciotti join us. And I will work with this coalition, but as an independent,” he specified during his campaign.
What result in the second round of the legislative elections for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan?
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan has been a member of parliament in the constituency since 1997. Coming second in the first round is a situation he is already familiar with. In 2017, with 29.75% of the vote against 35.8% for his LREM opponent at the time in the first round, he managed to be elected with 52.05% of the vote in the second part of the election. In 2022, he won his seat as a member of parliament against an LFI candidate, Émilie Chazette-Guillet, with 57.26% of the vote in the second round. However, Bérenger Cernon could benefit from the transfer of votes from the 3.41% obtained by the environmentalist Amina Bouatlaoui in the first round.
Furthermore, according to an Ipsos Toluna poll for France 2 which anticipates the number of seats by party and not by political union, the RN could obtain between 204 and 244 seats and their allies from Ciott between 26 and 36 seats, followed by the NFP which would obtain 180 to 200 seats, including 58 to 72 LFI, 33 to 43 PS, 28 to 38 EELV, 6 to 12 PCF. The presidential camp and its allies would come third with between 60 and 90 seats, including 53 to 71 Renaissance, 13 to 19 MoDem, 4 to 10 Horizons. The Republicans and various right-wing parties can hope for between 41 and 61 seats. However, these are trends observed at a specific time and in which the details for Debout la France are not specified.