Prime Minister Michel Barnier begins a high-risk week with a question on everyone’s lips in France: will he still be at Matignon at the end of the week? Everything depends on the next three days. This Monday afternoon at the National Assembly, the discussion will take place around the adoption of the Social Security finance bill, a compromise text validated by the joint committee. In the absence of a majority, Michel Barnier could decide to trigger 49.3 to have it adopted without a vote.
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A 49.3 will necessarily be followed by a motion of censure. This Monday, December 2, the vice-president of the National Rally, Louis Aliot reiterated that in the current state, his party would vote for the motion of censure. As for the president of the National Rally (RN), Jordan Bardella, he announced that the far right will vote this week to censure the center-right minority government, unless “ last minute miracle », just to increase a little more pressure on Michel Barnier.
After a weekend during which RN and government officials continued to send contradictory messages in the face of Marine Le Penwho was raising the stakes on these red lines and had given Michel Barnier until Monday to respond.
The Minister of Public Accounts, Laurent Saint-Martin, cut short the debates yesterday in Le Parisien Sundayspeaking of “ blackmail and ultimatum “. The head of the RN deputies therefore estimated last night that the government had ended the discussion. But Matignon made it known at the same time that he remained open to dialogue…
A standoff, we see, with declarations and counter-declarations, calling the French to witness, the issue of which seemed less to find a compromise on the Social Security budget than to try to bring on the camp opposite, the responsibility for voting on a motion of censure, which could therefore be tabled this Monday afternoon and examined Wednesday December 4 or Thursday December 5 if the Prime Minister decides to use 49.3.
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