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Information to remember:
– After its validation by the Joint Joint Commission, the pension reform was voted on one last time by the Senate this Thursday, March 16, then it will be debated one last time at the Palais Bourbon around 3 p.m. Without a clear majority, the government is hanging on the vote of a few Republican deputies, who could change the result.
– Several scenarios are possible during this day of extremely uncertain parliamentary debates. For it to be adopted, the text must collect more votes in favor than votes against: a count for the moment very uncertain within the hemicycle. Among them also hovers the threat of a new use of the constitutional weapon of 49.3, which would make it possible to adopt the reform without a vote in the Assembly, but would put the government in danger.
– La France Insoumise has promised to pursue its opposition to the bill to the end. “Nothing is over,” promised Mathilde Panot. The group also promises to use a motion of censure if necessary, or to seize the Constitutional Council.
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12 p.m.: Meeting in progress at the Elysée. A decisive meeting on the fate of the pension reform began Thursday at noon at the Elysée around Emmanuel Macron, with the leaders of the presidential camp and the heavyweights of the government, noted AFP.
10:43 am: The Senate adopts the compromise text. The Senate, with a majority on the right, adopted Thursday morning, before the last eagerly awaited stage in the National Assembly, the compromise text on the pension reform which ratifies the decline to 64 years of the retirement age. The vote was won by 193 votes against 114, after a session of one hour and three quarters. Unsurprisingly, the LR and centrist groups voted overwhelmingly in favor of the reform, adding their voices to the majority Renaissance and Indépendants RDPI groups. But 6 LR senators nevertheless voted against, as did 7 centrists. 19 LR senators abstained, as well as 13 centrists.
10:10 am: A new meeting at the Elysée. Emmanuel Macron will meet again at 12 p.m. at the Elysee Palace, for the second time that day, the leaders of the presidential camp to “re-follow” before a decisive and uncertain vote in the National Assembly on his pension reform, we learned from the presidency. According to a majority official, the Head of State will take his “decision at the end of the morning” on the possibility of going to a vote in the Assembly or the need to resort to 49.3 which allows adoption of the project without a vote. , while Macronist strategists are busy trying to find out if they have a majority of deputies.
9:35 am: Yaël Braun-Pivet will take part in the vote. Every voice counts. The President of the National Assembly, also a member of the presidential majority, Yaël Braun-Pivet, will participate according to information from RTL in the vote this afternoon in the Assembly, which could be decided by one or two votes. The deputy of Horizon Jean-Charles Larsonneur, group of Edouard Philippe Allied of Renaissance, announced a few minutes earlier that he would vote against the reform, like his colleague Yannick Favennec. Very bad news for the majority.
9:30 am: Marine Le Pen “poor” for a dissolution. Faced with the threat of the dissolution of the National Assembly, the possibility of which has been mentioned since last night in the event of rejection of the text by the deputies, the president of the National Rally Marine Le Pen launched a “chick” to Emmanuel Macron. “Let him do it!”, She launched this morning on BFMTV. “I don’t have any problem with that. Chick!”. “That we reject this text, that we are in the majority to reject it and that we go to the elections, there is no difficulty”, she continued, before promising that “if ever, unfortunately , this text is voted, and if we win the future presidential election, we will delete this text”.
9 a.m.: The text in the Senate. The Senate began at 9 a.m. Thursday the explanations of vote on the compromise text on the pension reform, a text “deeply enriched day after day and over the course of the discussion”, said Minister of Labor Olivier Dussopt.
8:50 am: Blockages and mobilization. Several blockages and mobilizations are underway in cities in France, particularly in Le Havre. In Paris the incinerators are still shut down. The CGT also threatens with an “ultimatum” to Storengy, a subsidiary of Engie, so that it applies a rare pressure drop in the gas networks, otherwise the strikers will take care of it, which could deprive gas of the power stations and certain industrial customers. On the Rhine, one of the two airlocks for maritime transport vessels is still blocked by the strikers.
8:40 am: The democratic vice. “We have a text that will change the lives of millions of workers, unprecedented mobilization, unprecedented public support, a bypassed parliamentary procedure. 49.3 would be a democratic vice”, condemns the secretary general of the CFDT Laurent Berger on the Franceinfo set this morning, in reaction to the possibility raised by the government of using this constitutional weapon to ignore a vote in Parliament.
8:30 a.m.: The LRs and the motion to dismiss. The Republican deputies who would support a motion of censure of the Nupes or the National Rally “would be the useful idiots of Marine Le Pen or Mélenchon”, warns Bruno Retailleau on the set of Public Senate this morning, brandishing the threat of an exclusion of the party for the deputies concerned. On the subject of the final text of the reform accepted yesterday by the joint joint committee, the president of the LRs in the Senate considered that it is “a good agreement”.
7:55 a.m .: Macron brings together the leaders of the majority. Emmanuel Macron puts his troops in battle order. He invited the party leaders of his majority and the group leaders of the presidential camp (Renaissance, Horizons, MoDem), to the National Assembly for an exceptional consultation meeting at the Elysée around 8:15 a.m. this Thursday morning, at the start of a decisive and uncertain day for his pension reform.
7:35 am: Dissolve the Assembly? “There is a majority to vote for this text” affirmed on the morning set of Franceinfo Sylvain Maillard, Renaissance deputy and member of the joint committee, faced with the hypothesis of a dissolution of the Assembly in the event of rejection. of the reform by the deputies.
7:30 a.m.: Countdown on the wire. The final vote on the pension reform will take place in the National Assembly from 3 p.m. The number of votes that will side with Emmanuel Macron’s majority is still uncertain, a few hours before the vote. The 88 RN deputies, as well as the 150 Nupes deputies will vote against the reform, while within the small independent group LIOT, which has 20 deputies, 16 should vote against according to an internal source. In the presidential camp (170 deputies), only two deputies could vote against. On the LR side, where the assessment is more fluctuating, they will be “between 15 and 20″ to oppose the reform, estimated Wednesday evening the LR deputy for the Territoire de Belfort, Ian Boucard, while on the LR side, the voices ” for” should be between 35 and 40, depending on the interlocutors questioned. The sum of votes “for” would therefore be in a range between 277 and just over 280 votes, confirming that the result will be played on the wire.
7:10 am: The unions are not giving up. March 15 marked the eighth day of mobilization against the pension reform at the call of the unions. It brought together 1.7 million French people according to the CGT, barely 500,000 according to the police. The unions remain mobilized this Thursday, and the renewable strikes continue in several sectors. Traffic will remain disrupted at SNCF and in the air sector. Production cuts should also continue in the electricity and gas factories still controlled by the unions, determined to be heard until the end.
7 a.m.: start of a decisive day. After the validation by the Joint Joint Commission of the text of the law last night, the mystery remains whole as to the future of the pension reform, which will undergo a more than uncertain double vote this Thursday, March 16 in Parliament. Will the text be approved?