LEGISLATIVE ELECTIONS 2022. Three days before the first round of the legislative elections, Together (LREM and allies) and Nupes stand in a pocket handkerchief according to the result of the latest poll. The latest info.
The essential
- Three days before the first round of the 2022 legislative elections, the result of this election seems particularly uncertain.
- Because according to the latest Ipsos Sopra Steria poll published this Thursday, June 9, Nupes (union of the left) would come out on top on the evening of June 12 (28%), just ahead of Together (LREM and allies), credited with 27%.
- As for the projections concerning the second round, the result of the survey shows that Emmanuel Macron could not obtain the majority in the National Assembly, when the left would make a strong comeback in the hemicycle.
- This Thursday, several leaders are on the move: Elisabeth Borne in her 6th constituency of Calvados, in Vire; Marine Le Pen in Agde (Hérault); Christian Jacob in Reims (Marne); Fabien Roussel in Saint-Amand-les-Eaux (North).
- For his part, Emmanuel Macron will go to the Tarn, near Gaillac, to talk about security.
- Results of polls, declarations, programs… Follow the latest news from the 2022 legislative election campaign.
Find legislative candidates near you
Latest poll on the first round of the 2022 legislative elections
LIVE
08:30 – What is the political program of the day?
Three days before the first round of the legislative elections, and on the eve of the end of the campaign, all the leaders are on a war footing this Thursday to try to tilt the result in their favor. Elisabeth Borne will first put on the costume of majority leader by going to Lamballe (Côtes-d’Armor) at midday, then to Granville (Manche) around 3 p.m., to support the local candidates, before going go to his constituency, in Vire, at the end of the day. Marine Le Pen, for her part, is expected around 10 a.m. in Agde (Hérault), while Fabien Roussel will hold a public meeting in Saint-Amand-les-Eaux (North) from 6:30 p.m. Christian Jacob, he must go to Reims (Marne) during the day.
08:13 – “I think we can come out on top on Sunday” assures Bardella (RN)
Given in third position according to the results of the polls, the National Rally wants to believe in its chances for these legislative elections. “I think we can come out on top on Sunday,” assured Jordan Bardella, acting president of the party, on the set of the 4 Truths of France 2. According to the MEP, “we are 3 or 4 points from the top spot.” The latest poll, however, places the party almost eight points behind Nupes. Whatever, the young elected “thinks that many of us can enter the Assembly. Not voting on Sunday means validating Emmanuel Macron’s program. Do not give him full powers.”
08:06 – Minister and candidate Yaël Braun-Pivet answers questions from Linternaute
Fifteen ministers will be on the starting line for the first round of legislative elections this Sunday, June 12. Candidates under the colors of the presidential majority, their objective is to obtain an absolute majority in the Assembly but also to win in a personal capacity to remain at the head of their respective ministries. The Minister of Overseas, Yaël Braun-Pivet, is one of them and she answered questions from Linternaute on her objectives as a candidate and member of the government.
07:59 – Emmanuel Macron: “I think that the French will be able to give a majority to the project that I am carrying”
Despite the polls which show the President of the Republic without a majority, Emmanuel Macron wants to be confident, as he expressed in Clichy-sous-Bois (Seine-Saint-Denis), Wednesday afternoon. “I think that the French men and women will be able to give a majority to the project that I am carrying”, assured the President, tackling his opponents from Nupes and RN: “these are projects for leaving Europe. And projects incoherent on ecology. Some propose to completely get out of renewables, others we no longer know because they have married political forces who wanted only nuclear power with others who are for the exit from nuclear power.
07:51 – Emmanuel Macron uncertain of obtaining a majority in the National Assembly
The closer the days get to the first round of the legislative elections, the more the threat of a lack of majority in the National Assembly hangs over Emmanuel Macron. Because according to the result of this same poll, the Together coalition (LREM and allies) would only obtain between 260 and 300 seats in the Bourbon palace. However, the majority is at 289. The reason for this upheaval? The eruption of the Nupes, credited with 175 to 215 seats. For the rest, LR could get 25 to 55, the RN 20 to 60, various left candidates could be between 10 to 18, while 5 to 10 other deputies outside political apparatuses would be on the way to settling in the Assembly .
07:45 – Result of the last poll: Nupes given the lead ahead of Ensemble
It is a real mano a mano to which the Nupes and Ensemble are engaged in this campaign for the legislative elections. The latest Ipsos-Sopra Steria poll for Radio France and France Télévisions published this Thursday, June 9, 2022 gives 28% of voting intentions in favor of the union of the left, when LREM and its allied parties would win 27%. Behind, the National Rally would only obtain 19.5% of the votes cast, far ahead of Les Républicains (11%) or even Reconquête (6%).
07:42 – Hello everyone!
Hello everyone and welcome to Linternaute! This Thursday marks the penultimate day of campaigning for the first round of the 2022 legislative elections. Follow the latest poll results, statements from candidates and leaders, discover the programs… The time for choosing MPs is approaching!
Learn more
What are the dates of the 2022 legislative elections?
The first round of the legislative elections is organized in all the constituencies of metropolitan France on Sunday June 12, 2022; the second round takes place on Sunday June 19, 2022. Abroad and in French Polynesia, the first ballot is held one week before the vote organized in mainland France. In certain departments and overseas collectivities, voters vote in the legislative elections on the Saturday preceding the election in mainland France. These two elections take place only two months after the presidential election, because the campaign, in addition to being short, is steeped in the dynamics of the presidential election. The nominations of the candidates were formalized at the beginning of May after the sequences of negotiations and the deposit of the candidatures took place between May 16 and 20. The official campaign began on Monday, May 30, since that date the municipalities must provide candidates with poster spaces and the media give voice to the political parties involved in the race for the legislative elections.
How do legislative elections work?
The men and women appointed deputies during the legislative elections are the representatives of national sovereignty for 5 years, except in the event of dissolution interrupting the legislature. The election is carried out by direct universal suffrage, by a so-called uninominal majority ballot in two rounds in each constituency. In each constituency, a candidate is elected and therefore obtains a deputy seat in the first round, if he obtains an absolute majority of the votes cast and a number of votes equal to a quarter of the number of registered voters.
To qualify for the second round, a candidate must have received in the first round a number of votes at least equal to 12.5% of the number of registered voters in the constituency. But if only one candidate fulfills this condition, then the candidate who came in second place can remain in the second round. If no candidate has obtained the 12.5% of registered votes, the two candidates who come first are qualified for the second round. In the second round, the candidate who comes first, with an absolute or relative majority, is elected. In the event of a perfect equality of votes, the oldest candidate is elected.
Who are the candidates for the legislative elections?
6,293 applications were submitted to the prefecture before the deadline of May 20. According to the electoral code, to stand as legislative candidates, a certain number of conditions must be met: be of legal age on the day of the election; enjoy their civic rights; not be in a case of incapacity or ineligibility provided for by law. A candidate is not obliged, on the other hand, to appear on the electoral list of one of the communes of the legislative constituency he is targeting. It is forbidden to run in several constituencies. It is impossible for a mayor or a person exercising local executive functions to stand as a candidate in a legislative election, since the organic law of February 14, 2014 on the non-accumulation of mandates.
What are the results of the polls on the 2022 legislative elections?
It must be understood that legislative elections are of a very singular nature: in reality there are 577 different ballots, one per constituency, with candidates presenting themselves only in a single territory. Polling institutes do not lend themselves to the exercise of carrying out an opinion poll in each constituency. On the other hand, the pollsters always carry out for the legislative studies of voting intentions by political formation at the national level, for the first and the second round. More detailed analyzes follow with projections in number of seats, with wide ranges.
The result of these 2022 legislative elections will determine the political balance of power that will structure Emmanuel Macron’s second term: the re-elected president hopes to once again have an absolute majority in the Assembly, otherwise the program it intends to implement will have to be amended. These legislative elections are in fact a new match between the three formations which now represent the political triptych of the country: the radical left carried by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the parties of the presidential majority united under the label Together! and the sovereignist and nationalist right of Marine Le Pen.
What is the result of the last legislative elections?
The results of the previous legislative elections had allowed Emmanuel Macron to govern with an absolute majority, since 350 seats out of 577 had been allocated, in 2017, to the parties La République en Marche and the MoDem. The Les Républicains party then became the leading opposition party, with 112 seats. The Socialist Party recorded a very severe defeat, with the election of only 30 parliamentarians at the Palais Bourbon. La France Insoumise had succeeded in forming a parliamentary group, with 17 elected members, the National Rally had brought 8 elected members into the National Assembly. In five years, these figures have evolved over resignations, changes of groups and partial legislative. Here is in the graph above the composition of the National Assembly updated before the result of the 2022 legislative elections.