The predictions before the Champions League match between Juventus Turin and PSG are clearly in favor of the Parisians. But the balance of power has not always been so favorable…
Juventus of Turin and PSG meet this Wednesday, November 2, for the 6th and last day of the Champions League before the truce, which will give rise to the World Cup in a few weeks. With three games won and two draws, the Parisians have already qualified for the round of 16, which will be played in mid-February. Juve, eliminated for its part, will try to put on a good figure at the end of a catastrophic European campaign, with four defeats and only one victory in this Champions League 2022. Massimiliano Allegri’s men are still playing 3rd place in this group H, which would be synonymous with qualification for the Europa League. In case of defeat, the bianconeri would be wiped off all European maps.
Paris Saint-Germain are therefore favorites ahead of this confrontation, having beaten the “Old Lady” in early September for the first leg at the Parc des Princes, thanks to two goals from Kilian Mbappé (2-1). The odds for this Juventus – PSG are logically in favor of the capital club, a victory for Christophe Galtier’s men being at 1.66 at Winamax against 4.90 for a victory for Juve (and 4.10 for a draw). At Betclic, it’s more or less the same song with odds of 1.60 for a victory for PSG and 5.50 for a victory for Juve (4.30 for a draw).
It should also be noted that PSG won their last group match in their last four Champions Leagues with a certain efficiency in front of goal: the Parisians scored 18 goals in these four games, i.e. a capital of 4.5 goals from mean. In number of goals, the most favorable odds therefore still go to PSG, the scenario of 1 to 3 goals being evaluated at 1.23. The odds of a Kylian Mbappé scorer tonight is 1.91.
If we go back to other statistics, especially on previous confrontations between PSG and Juventus of Turin, the Italians regain some of their luster. Of the eight meetings that preceded the shocks of this season, the Turinese won six times, conceding only two draws. Paris have never managed to bring home a victory from Italy in their four games in Turin and the last confrontation to date, in 1997, left little room for doubt: the locals, led by a certain Zinedine Zidane, the had then won 3 goals to 1 after inflicting a knockdown on the Parisians at home (1-6) a few weeks earlier. At the time, we were playing the European Super Cup, the duel between the winners of the Champions League and the Cup Cup. Another era.