The impossibility for Jean-Luc Mélenchon to qualify Hamas as a “terrorist” group after the massacres of October 7 has relaunched the debate on its political clientelism. The semantic dispute has caused some stir on the left, and even within La France insoumise, to the point of threatening the existence of Nupes. But a question remains about this electoral strategy: does it really work? It is clear that the progress in the polls of the rebellious candidate since 2012 is impressive within the “suburban vote”. The expression is from the pollster Jérôme Fourquet (Ifop), author of the book France after (Threshold), and interviewed in our long video format.
The efforts of the left of the left to win the workers’ vote are over. For ten years now, the pivot has been towards young people, graduates from big cities, and minorities. Seine-Saint-Denis is an interesting illustration of this: the Mélenchon vote in the last presidential election reached 49% in the first round. Find our infographics in this video survey, as well as the analyzes of Anne Rosencher, deputy editorial director of L’Express.