” A week before the vote on the pension reform, who still really believes that the executive will be able to do without 49.3? exclaims Opinion. ” On March 16 (next Thursday), the National Assembly will have to decide, a few hours after the Senate, on the conclusions of the joint joint commission which will take place the day before. Will a majority emerge at the Palais Bourbon to adopt the text or will the executive have to resort to this article which allows a text to be adopted without a vote? The executives of Macronie are gradually beginning to come to terms with this last hypothesis, which has become almost inevitable. »
Indeed, add Les Echos, “ a week before the public vote in the Assembly, plus a phone call without a calculator, and plus a total without cold sweats. It’s tight, very tight. If the entire Macronist majority approved the text (which is not won), it would take 35 LR votes to have the text adopted. However today, the party of Éric Ciotti estimates the range of LR deputies ‘for’ between 32 and 36, while 15 would vote ‘against’, the remaining ten not being fixed. »
So the hypothesis of 49.3 is solid: and if it turns out, “Elisabeth Borne would be less sure of staying in place, still points the economic daily. ‘It would be a sign of weakness that would damage our ability to reform’, said a deputy. Especially since Laurent Berger of the CFDT has been insinuating for a few days that a 49.3 would constitute a “democratic vice” and would legitimize the continuation of the conflict. »
The government hanging on the right…
Certainly, the senators adopted last night article 7 of the bill on the decline of the legal age to 64 years. But, point The world“ 13 papers remain to be reviewed by Sunday midnight. With an uncertainty that hangs over the ability of senators to proceed to a final vote on the entire text. ‘What would become [la démocratie représentative] if neither the Assembly nor the Senate pronounced on such an essential text?’ centrist senator Olivier Henno worried last night. »
In fact, analysis The world“ the government is in trouble “: “ failing to have succeeded in convincing public opinion of the merits of the reform, failing to have found a single ally among the unions at the end of a consultation which nevertheless lasted three months, the executive is now forced to rely on the right to try to achieve Emmanuel Macron’s campaign commitment to make the French work longer (…). The best the executive can hope for is that Les Républicains agree to save him next week in the National Assembly. But he’s not even sure. »
Contempt ?
Release for his part denounces what he calls the “ strategy of contempt by Emmanuel Macron. President “ considers that he has about ten days left to grit his teeth, to see France pass without flinching until the moment when the reform project will end up being voted on, which will push certain unions to let go of the matter and public opinion to move on, death in the soul. Until then, having nothing to offer them, he chooses the arm of honor strategy. But how can he imagine that it won’t leave traces? », gets carried away Release. ” This situation is sad to cry, concludes the newspaper, and it bodes very badly for the four years to come. »
Divisions!
Finally, to top it off, Le Figaro points to the divisions within the majority…” Long before 2027, the Macron camp is about to explode “, title Le Figaro. ” In the midst of the debate on pensions, it did not escape the Head of State that a dozen Macronist ‘slingers’ came forward. Including in the ranks of Renaissance, where former minister Barbara Pompili announced Tuesday that she would not vote for the reform. » Result, succession Le Figaro“ some Macronist leaders are worried that their opponents are taking advantage of their divisions. With the memory of Emmanuel Macron’s warning in September, in a video broadcast during the founding congress of Renaissance: ‘Without unity, he said, the extremes will prevail’. »