Prepared in cooperation with Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality (IMM) and Boğaziçi University Kandilli Observatory Earthquake Research Institute,Project for Updating Probable Earthquake Loss Estimates for Istanbul Province-2019” is on the agenda once again.
Two earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.7 and 7.6 that occurred in Kahramanmaraş caused great destruction and loss of life in the region. As of February 13, the official death toll has exceeded 31 thousand, and what we have experienced brought Istanbul to mind, as in every earthquake. making a statement on this prof. Dr. Naci Gorurfor the possible Istanbul earthquake, “The probability of more than 7 earthquakes in Istanbul has increased to 80 percent. Just like the Maraş earthquake” in a new warning saying found. Nobody knows exactly when the big earthquake expected in Istanbul will happen, but a huge destruction is unfortunately at the door. So which areas are the most risky in this regard? In which regions would it be better for residents to strengthen their buildings without waiting for an earthquake? There is a good resource on this. As transmitted In the reports prepared by IMM for each district, the scenarios regarding the building damage, possible loss of life and the number of injured, infrastructure and roads that may occur as a result of an earthquake with a magnitude of 7.5 were scripted. The statement made by IMM about this study was as follows:
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“With this study carried out between the IMM Earthquake and Soil Investigation Directorate and Boğaziçi University Kandilli Observatory, Earthquake Research Institute, Earthquake Engineering Department, the general characteristics of the Istanbul Earthquake Emergency Response and Early Warning System were described and its algorithm was schematized. The comparison of the system with the urban earthquake monitoring systems in Turkey and other countries has been made by considering the technological, administrative and legal components. Analyzing the current needs in critical urban infrastructure services (water, electricity, gas, transportation, etc.) that the use of the system will benefit from, defining the necessary standards, and in this context, ensuring that the Istanbul Earthquake Emergency Response and Early Warning System meets these needs or the compatibility of the existing urban infrastructure services with the system. actions to ensure it has been defined.”
According to the report, 2 thousand in Arnavutköy, 3 thousand in Ataşehir, 10 thousand in Bağcılar, 6 thousand in Bakırköy, 4 thousand 200 in Beyoğlu, 9 thousand in Büyükçekmece, 2 thousand in Çatalca, 5 in Esenler. thousand, 15 thousand in Fatih, 2 thousand in Kağıthane, 4 thousand in Kartal, 13 thousand in Küçükçekmece, 3 thousand in Sancaktepe, 9 thousand in Silivri, 45 thousand in Sultanbeyli, 7 thousand in Tuzla, Moderate and higher damage is expected to occur in 4,000 buildings in Üsküdar. 83 percent of the buildings in Bahçelievler, 91 percent in Bayrampaşa, two-thirds in Beykoz, 90 percent in Güngören, 92 percent in Şişli are 20 and over; About half of them in Beşiktaş, more than half in Adalar, and one-third in Eyüp are aged 40 and over.
In a big earthquake that will occur in Istanbul, there will be a great chaos due to the incredibly high population, most people will die on the street, not at home, and the country’s economy will suffer an unprecedented damage. In this respect, Istanbul needs to be prepared for an earthquake in a very different way, but there are no large-scale concrete steps in this regard at the moment. Renovating buildings with urban transformation is often not a complete solution. Directly to all studies and details for the detailed earthquake risk map of Istanbul from here you can reach.