There will therefore be no vote on Thursday June 8 on the postponement of the legal retirement age in France. The President of the Assembly considers inadmissible the amendments which aimed to reconsider the main provision of the government reform. Nearly six months after the bill was tabled in the Council of Ministers, the opponents have, it seems, exhausted all the remedies and the law must come into force gradually from the start of the school year.
Rarely has a text of law aroused so much tension in the hemicycle. Screams, points of order, suspensions of sessions, invectives… On March 16, the Prime Minister triggered article 49.3 of the Constitution, the law was adopted without a vote in the hemicycle. Of the thousands of people descend spontaneously in the street. But today, the majority wants to turn the pagewith more or less good faith.
” Political life is scars. We move forward, we have our bumps, our pods “, relativizes Philippe Vigier, deputy of the MoDem, who recalls that” there were complicated times: 1968, a million people in the street, General de Gaulle leaving. François Mitterrand: you remember that he had complicated moments, a very low level of popularity. There have always been very strong moments of tension, it is difficult to govern the French. »
” An authoritarian drift of the Head of State
The oppositions do not entirely share this opinion. This forced passageit’s here “ authoritarian drift of a man, according to the Green MP Sandrine Rousseau: Emmanuel Macron, who “ missed history, he brutalized a people, confides the deputy. It will stay with him like a pebble in his shoe. We are in a situation, in my opinion, of a very critical democratic crisis “. The communist Pierre Dharéville says it with other words, but the diagnosis is the same: “ The way the debate has been conducted from start to finish is a permanent hold-up. It is at every stage an anti-democratic measure. »
Ecologists, communists, socialists, rebels who have not always agreed, the rebels persisting in their strategy of obstruction. But the Nupes boat withstood the shock in the storm. At least this one, because the ship is likely to rock during the next electoral appointments.
A fracture in the LRs
Republicans, they exposed their divisions to the light of day. With this revolt led by the very media deputy of Lot Aurélien Pradié and a group divided in two. A psychodrama which has left traces internally, to hear the boss of deputies LR Olivier Marleix. “ Finally, today, I believe that no one wants to relive this moment which was rather difficult, painful, remembers the deputy. But I think we come out of this more united. »
Olivier Marleix confirms, and this is another lesson from this episode, that the government still cannot count on the Republicans to enlarge its majority. “ Whenever the government will go in what is our beliefs, they will have a chance to find us in their pathhe assures. If he proposes texts contrary to our convictions, we will obviously not be there. “.
No coalition possible for the government
This is very clearly what this retreat sequence has shown, and it is likely to last. So how can you manage to govern in the next four years without a majority? ” In our political culture, we are unable to move towards this art of compromise, of consensusdeplores Dorian Dreuil, political scientist at the Jean-Jaurès foundation, classified rather on the left. Those who emerge the most weakened from this situation are the government. How to govern after all these demonstrations, when one lost the battle of the opinion? »
The only winner is obviously the National Rally. All the opinion studies show it: Marine Le Pen has scored points in recent months by opposing the pension reform silently in the hemicycle. With a message: “Vote for me in 2027 and this reform will be repealed”. But the road to the next presidential election is still very long and full of pitfalls.