Helldén passes Pehrson – L loses in the school issue

Hellden passes Pehrson – L loses in the school issue
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After years of struggling in opinion polls, the Green Party’s mouthpiece now appears to be gaining more confidence among voters.

MP leader Daniel Helldén now overtakes Johan Pehrson (L) in the top list of party leaders’ trust.

Aftonbladet/Demoskop’s new survey shows that.

  • The Green Party’s leader, Daniel Helldén, has increased in trust among voters, according to a survey from Aftonbladet/Demoskop.
  • Helldén has now passed the Liberal party leader, Johan Pehrson, on the list of party leaders with the highest confidence.
  • This trend break may be a consequence of the Green Party’s success during the EU elections.
  • ⓘ The summary is made with the support of AI tools from OpenAI and quality assured by Aftonbladet. Read our AI policy here.

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    The Green Party has for a long time been plagued by very low trust in the party’s mouthpiece.

    But with the new duo Amanda Lind and Daniel Helldén, a trend break is now visible.

    Amanda Lind, who was elected spokesperson in April, has enjoyed a relatively high level of trust from the voters from the beginning.

    In Aftonbladet/Demoskop’s latest survey, 21 percent of the respondents state that they have quite or a lot of trust in Lind.

    She is followed by Daniel Helldén, who gets 14 percent, an increase of one percentage point since the corresponding survey in June.

    Helldén thus overtakes the Liberals’ party leader Johan Pehrson, who falls back by two percentage points to 13 percent.

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    full screen Daniel Helldén (MP) Photo: Björn Lindahl

    The analysis: Riding on the tailwind from the EU election

    Johan Martinsson, head of opinion at Demoskop, says that Helldén has rather caught up with Pehrson than passed him.

    The reason may be that the MP leader has been successful in the EU elections, when the MP advanced strongly.

    – Helldén managed to establish themselves more and ride the tailwind during the EU election campaign, and that effect still seems to be there, while Pehrson has instead had a more difficult period, even though they managed to retain their mandate in the European Parliament, says Johan Martinsson.

    Johan Pehrson also takes over the bottom spot as the party leader in whom most voters say they have a lot or rather little trust.

    In the past, C leader Muharrem Demirok has kept the place warm, but now it is Johan Pehrson who enjoys very low confidence.

    – If we look at the long-term trend of the respective party leaders, since March, Pehrson has seen an increase in the percentage with low confidence in him, while Demirok has been at about the same level since then, says Johan Martinsson.

    Voters still have the highest confidence in Social Democrats party leader Magdalena Andersson. 48 percent of those questioned in the July survey state that they have quite or a lot of trust in the S-leader.

    Andersson is followed by Ulf Kristersson (M) on 38 percent and Jimmie Åkesson (SD) on 36 percent.

    Healthcare and school increasingly important

    Since the EU elections in June, voters have regained interest in Swedish domestic politics. Aftonbladet/Demoskop’s survey shows a clear rise in the care issue.

    In June, 30 percent of those surveyed stated that healthcare was their most important issue. In the recent measurement from now in July, the figure is 35 percent.

    A pressured healthcare system combined with the conflict between employers and unions, with a strike as a result, has likely brought the issue higher on the agenda.

    The school issue has also risen in interest among voters. Several parties made statements during Almedal Week about the school in particular, which could possibly be an explanation for the increased interest.

    In June, 18 percent of voters stated that they considered school and education to be the most important issue. In the July survey, that figure increases by seven percentage points to 25 percent.

    Here, too, the Liberals face setbacks. The party, whose highest priority issue is precisely the school, is losing the voters’ trust in school policy.

    In June, 16 percent of respondents stated that L had the best school and education policy. Now the party has lost two percentage points.

    At the same time, the Sweden Democrats are rising on the same issue. SD and L both get 14 percent in the latest Aftonbladet/Demoskop survey.

    – The Liberals have had a generally discouraged period where they have lost about 4 percentage points since March, while the SD during the period has increased about three to four percentage points in the last month, says Johan Martinsson at Demoskop.

    SD made a targeted outreach on the school grounds during Almedal Week and Jimmie Åkesson dedicated parts of his Almedal speech to the school in particular.

    Åkesson has said that he wants his party to become Sweden’s new school party. This must be done through a focus on discipline in the classrooms.

    Law and order continues to top the list of voters’ most important issues with 43 percent.

    The issue of refugee immigration has plummeted by eleven percent compared to the survey in June, when 27 percent of respondents considered it the most important political issue.

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    full screen Magdalena Andersson (S) has the highest confidence among voters. Photo: Lotte Fernvall

    FACTS Voters’ most important questions – top five (change compared to the June survey in percentage)

    1. Law and order – 43 percent (0)

    2. Healthcare – 35 percent (5)

    3. Climate and environment – ​​27 percent (-4)

    4. School and education – 25 percent (7)

    5. The Swedish economy 18 percent (5)

    Read moreFACTSTrust in the party leaders (change compared to the June survey in percentage)

    1. Magdalena Andersson – 48 percent (1)

    2. Ulf Kristersson – 38 percent (0)

    3. Jimmie Åkesson – 36 percent (-1)

    4. Ebba Busch – 29 percent (1)

    5. Nooshi Dadgostar – 27 percent (0)

    6. Amanda Lind – 21 percent (1)

    7. Daniel Helldén – 14 percent (1)

    8. Johan Pehrson – 13 percent (-2)

    9. Muharrem Demirok – 11 percent (1)

    Percentage of voters who say they have quite or a lot of trust in the party leader.

    Read more FACTS About the survey

    The most important political issues

    The survey was carried out by Demoskop on behalf of Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet within the framework of the Inizio panel, which reflects the Swedish people. The target group is the general public aged 16 to 79.

    The survey includes 1,147 interviews during the period June 26 – July 3, 2024 and is completed
    as a web survey. The selection is pre-stratified and weighted by age, gender, region and party choice in the previous parliamentary election.

    Party leader trust and ownership (best policy)

    The survey was carried out by Demoskop on behalf of Aftonbladet within the framework of the Inizio panel, which reflects the Swedish people. The target group is the public aged 18 to 79.

    The survey includes 1,548 interviews during the period June 19 – July 3, 2024 and is conducted as a web survey. The selection is pre-stratified and weighted by age, gender, region and party in the previous election.

    Read moreJoin our opinion panel

    Do you want to take part and answer Demoskop’s surveys where we find out what the Swedish people think about, for example, social issues and politics? Results are presented, among other things, in Aftonbladet. Answering is voluntary, you are anonymous and can opt out whenever you want. Click on the link to sign up.

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