November 5th is the day when American citizens go to the polls.
About 244 million people in the United States are eligible to vote, and before election day a whopping 23 million of them had voted early, which was a record.
The election, which stands between the Democrats’ Kamala Harris and the Republicans Donald Trumppredicted to be the tightest election ever.
READ MORE:
US election: Here are all the 2024 swing states
This is how the electoral system works in the USA: Number of electors per state in 2024
The 2024 US presidential election: He has simulated the winner
The American statistics guru Nate Silver has, with the background that there is no clear winner in advance, carried out a whopping 80,000 simulations.
The purpose of the simulations is to point to who is predicted to win the election. Of the 80,000 simulations Silver has carried out, one thing speaks for itself: it is awfully even.
READ MORE: What will happen if Donald Trump wins the US election in 2024?
Statistician Nate Silver has simulated the winner of the 2024 US presidential election. Photo: Nam Y. Huh/TT
DON’T MISS:
All About Kamala Harris: Husband, Education and Origins
What do the Republicans stand for in the 2024 US election?
She wins the presidential election in the USA in 2024 – according to 80,000 simulations
On the night of Tuesday, November 5, he went through the results which showed that Kamala Harris was the winner in 40,012 of the cases, which corresponds to a 50.0015 percent chance of victory.
Donald Trump won in 39,988 of the simulations, which equates to a 49.985 percent chance of victory, states The evening paper.
Just as it has been in recent days, the outcome is therefore difficult to guess. Harris has a marginally greater chance of victory, but Nate Silver states that it is more or less impossible to say who will actually win the US presidential election in 2024. He sees the calculation as “probable” rather than a fact.
– I don’t really know what to say about this, says Nate Silver according to Aftonbladet.
DON’T MISS: Latest news – take part in what is happening right now
Photo: Paul Sancya & Susan Walsh/TT
READ MORE: News today – current news from Sweden and the world