Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are neck and neck in the latest polls in Georgia. A look back at the electoral habits of this “swing state”.
Find the latest trends and polls on the American election
A Republican stronghold for thirty years, Georgia is now one of the Swing states, those key states in the American presidential election whose outcome oscillates between left and right and which swing the vote. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will therefore be keen to convince the voters of this state which allows its winner to win no less than 16 electoral votes to try to reach the White House. Nationally, the Democratic candidate is currently in the lead with 48.3% of voting intentions, one point ahead of her Republican competitor, Donald Trump, credited with 47.3% of voting intentions according to 270towin. On the other hand, the trend is quite different in Georgia less than a month before the election.
What do the polls say between Trump and Harris in Georgia?
The result of the US presidential election in the state of Georgia appears to be one of the closest of the 7 swing states. And the outcome of the vote in this state is of capital importance: it will allow its winner to win 16 electors, decisive in the race for the White House. For now, Donald Trump enjoys a small advantage with 49.3% of voting intentions against 47.4% for his Democratic competitor Kamala Harris according to the Real Clear Politics compilationNovember 3.
The compilation of the latest polls FiveThirtyEight to November 3 does not really allow us to see any more clearly. It also places Donald Trump slightly ahead of Kamala Harris, 48.6% against 47.1% of voting intentions. Electoral trends still have time to evolve, but the match should be tense until the end to try to win the 16 electors of Georgia.
Does Georgia lean more Democratic or Republican?
Georgia, one of the original 13 colonies, entered the Union in January 1788. The state has participated in every presidential election except 1864 (due to Secession). Until 1960, the state voted Democratic in every election, before switching to the conservative camp in 1964 in response to discontent over the Civil Rights Act.
In 2020, and after 30 years of Republican voting, Georgia switched to the Democratic side by 11,800 votes, or a difference of 0.23 points. A vote which, like this year, will be largely determined by the political color of the city of Atlanta. With its suburbs, it represents half of the state’s population. African-American populations (30% of the state’s population) are now larger in this state, particularly in the suburbs.
A notable development which pushed the rather Republican legislature of this state to adopt several laws related to the exercise of the right to vote. Controversial laws signed without debate by Governor Brian Kemp which put obstacles in the way of Georgia administrators. The fight promises to be tough to win the state’s 16 major voters.