Hanna Smith, an international political expert, estimates that many other things, such as Gaza and China relationships, will also be on the table at Putin and Trump’s meeting.
Toni Joukanen,
Olivia Din Belle
12.2. 21: 09 • Updated 12.2. 22:20
International policy expert Hanna Smith estimates that US President Donald Trump and the Russian president Vladimir Putin A recent telephone conversation to start negotiations to end the Ukrainian war is a starting point for organizing a joint meeting.
“Next, the meeting is being prepared between the United States and Russia, and most likely the meeting between Putin and Trump will take place in the next six months,” Smith estimates.
According to him, many other things will also rise to the conference table, such as China, which is perhaps even more important to the United States. According to Smith, there is a wedding in the US interest in Russia and China.
The appointment would suit both of them
In Smith’s opinion, the meeting would not be a surprise as it is suitable for both Russia and the United States.
– In his speeches, Trump has emphasized how the United States to end all wars, war is bad and so on.
Also a professor of world politics Teivo Teivainen It is possible that Trump is driven by the desire to remain in history as a peacekeeper.
– Maybe Trump is genuinely motivated by the Nobel Peace Prize.
According to Smith, the negotiations were also suitable for Putin, who, together with the Russian political elite, said time and time again that Russia would like to go to negotiate.
– But other than, of course, on Russian terms and when Russia wants.
Next, according to Smith, the meeting will begin to be prepared and it is decided whether Trump may go to Moscow, whether to meet in another country, or what could be Putin’s chance to go to the United States.
– All of these cards are so -called and then come to some end result. It may well be that it is a third country.
Meeting is not yet a peace talk
In the past, it has been feared that Trump -led United States could negotiate with Russia over Ukraine. According to Smith, this can happen if Trump and Putin talk about them and no one else is there.
– It is good to remember that Ukraine is still a player here. Trump and Putin can decide anything, but it does require Ukraine and also Europe.
Smith points out that American rhetoric has been strongly involved that the EU wants to be a payman.
– The first appointment now planned may well take place without Ukraine or the EU. But it is not yet a peace negotiation.
However, according to Teivainen, the ceasefire is now closer than ever before during the war.
Trump may want minerals to remain in Ukraine
According to Teivo Teivainen, it seems that the United States has sold the issues desired by Ukraine to Russia even before the negotiations began.
These include NATO membership in Ukraine and return to pre-2014 borders. US Defense Pete Heggeth Today, both goals are unrealistic.
– This is likely to take fires from Ukraine and make deals stating that Ukraine is not a sovereign to decide on its alliance.
According to Teivainen, however, Trump may want to have the end result of peace talks to Ukraine with areas with valuable minerals.
Minerals are mainly in eastern Ukraine, where the Russian offensive war is largely held.
Trump’s wish is based on his fear that minerals would end up in Russia to the US competitor China.
There is not only Ukraine on the table at the appointment
Smith adds that the agenda of Putin and Trump’s meeting will also have things other than Ukraine.
-It will certainly go through this Israel-Gaza complex. Even these Trump openings, when it comes to Greenland and Panama, may be talked about. And then definitely and perhaps the most important thing will be Russia’s relationship with China.
According to Smith, the interests of the United States are to strive to hit the wedding of Russia and China.
– The fact that Trump has promised to handle Ukraine in his electoral speeches is one part of this big entity. But at the same time, the biggest issue for the United States is the extent to which Russia cooperates with China. And that entity must definitely be reduced, Smith says.
The news is updated.