estimates published before 8 p.m.?

estimates published before 8 pm

The result of the first round of the French presidential election 2022 will be officially announced at 8 p.m. However, leaks could take place on social networks and on Twitter. With a certain risk for its authors.

[Mis à jour le 10 avril 2022 à 18h39] You may have seen the American flag attached to the hashtag “#Election2022”. But what is the link between the first round of the French presidential election and the flag of the United States? In fact, this keyword was planned for the next American midterm election! And not at all for the French elections. The French shunned the hashtags #JeVote or #Présidentielles. Consequently, there is a big confusion for the hashtag acclaimed by the many Twitter users in France. A funny situation this Sunday, April 10.

Still, rumors and news abound on the web as the results approach. Is it necessary to wait 8 p.m. sharp to know the results of the first round of the presidential election, Sunday April 10, 2022? Yes, officially. The electoral code is very clear: as long as the polling stations are open, no figures can be released. Polling stations closing at 8 p.m. in major cities, including Paris, it is impossible to know, through traditional channels, the first estimates before the fateful hour. While traditional channels include all generalist media, whether TV, radio or the web, they also include social networks, and in particular Twitter. “No election result, partial or final, can be communicated to the public by any means whatsoever, in mainland France, before the closing of the last polling station in mainland France. The same applies in the departments of overseas before the closing of the last polling station in each of the departments concerned clearly specifies article L52-2 of the electoral code.All the news devoted to the presidential election can be found on our main direct.

Since the beginning of this Sunday, March 10, 2022, Linternaute.com has been bringing you live this day of the first round of the presidential election. Latest news, comments, analyses… The ballot is monitored in real time by our teams. Thus, from 8 p.m., you will be able to live on our site the announcement of the two finalists and discover, over the feedback from the polling stations, the evolution of the results and find out who came first in your municipality, department or region. .

What will be the results at 8 p.m.?

If, in view of the polls on voting intentions which have been swarming for months, the suspense on the duel in the second round of the presidential election appears weak, the interest seems above all to be on the scores obtained by the contenders for the Elysée , as well as the positions taken by the pursuers of the leading duo. At 8 p.m., will we have the exact photograph? No. But she will come very close to it. Indeed, the last polling stations closing at 8 p.m., impossible to obtain the final score of each candidate in the process. These are only estimates, established from, in particular, polling stations that closed at 8 p.m. The scores will then be refined over the hours. However, the positions announced from 8 p.m. should not move in broad outline.

On Twitter, the “coded” results before 8 p.m.?

On Twitter, thousands of publications concern, this Sunday, April 10, 2022, the first round of the presidential election. Comments, analyses, forecasts, photos… And in the middle of all that, “coded” messages on the model of Radio London which claim to give indications on the results of the election. Whether completely random or from certain polling stations, these posts never name the candidates directly but use various metaphors. It remains to understand the meaning of the messages.

An embargo not always respected

In the past, breaches of the 8 p.m. embargo had occurred. Especially in 2012. During this election, AFP had sent its subscribers estimates from 6:47 p.m. However, Agence France Presse specified that the public dissemination of these elements was the responsibility of each media. “AFP is international and French. How can we imagine that our customers could receive information on the French presidential election from our international competitors before being informed by AFP (…) to do otherwise would be journalistic nonsense “the agency had defended itself. For its part, Franceinfo had disclosed its results at 7:58 p.m., two minutes before.

Leaks from the Belgian and Swiss media?

However, as with every election (whether local or national) for several years now, social networks play a major role. During the campaign, on the one hand, but also on the day of the vote, supporters of certain candidates, not hesitating to give cookie-cutter tendencies on hypothetical first results in order to try to mobilize the undecided last minute to vote for their side. Before the fateful hour of the announcement of the first scores, “coded” messages flourish from certain accounts to evoke, without detailing them, the first feedback from the polling stations closing at 7 p.m. and allowing to have a first vision of this what the final photograph should look like.

If no dissemination of the results in France is authorized before 8 p.m., the neighboring countries of France are not required to respect this rule and have the leisure to publish their estimates before their French colleagues. This is particularly the case for La Libre in Belgium and RTBF in Switzerland. Not subject to French legislation, the latter are known to be the most reputable in order to disclose the first figures at the end of the afternoon. Data that can then be massively relayed on Twitter, in France. It remains to know how to decipher the “coded” messages often associated with the hashtag #RadioLondres. Because in the event of flagrant and deliberate announcement of figures before the schedule fixed by law, a fine of 75,000 euros can be drawn up against its author.

What will be the results at 8 p.m.?

If, in view of the polls on voting intentions which have been swarming for months, the suspense on the duel in the second round of the presidential election appears weak, the interest seems above all to be on the scores obtained by the contenders for the Elysée , as well as the positions taken by the pursuers of the leading duo. At 8 p.m., will we have the exact photograph? No. But she will come very close to it. Indeed, the last polling stations closing at 8 p.m., impossible to obtain the final score of each candidate in the process. These are only estimates, established from, in particular, polling stations that closed at 8 p.m. The scores will then be refined over the hours. However, the positions announced from 8 p.m. should not move in broad outline.

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