MACRON. Emmanuel Macron’s result in the first round of the 2022 presidential election on Sunday thwarted polls that had him neck and neck with Marine Le Pen. But in the second round, the same polls draw a much tighter duel than 5 years ago. Right this time? Latest info…
09:35 – Rachida Dati calls to vote Macron
Former minister of Nicolas Sarkozy, Rachida Dati called to vote Emmanuel Macron this Monday, April 11, on Franceinfo. “When you fail, you inevitably have a hangover. A failure is not pleasant, especially for a government party”, admits the elected representative of the 7th arrondissement of Paris. The one who supported Pécresse in this campaign speaks of a “huge mess, because, as in 2017, we had everything to win. […] France, it is on the right in its values, it is on the right in its concerns”. “The French demand authority, security, more freedom in particular to undertake”. But for the mayor of the 7th arrondissement of Paris, “the challenge today is to be able to block the far right which is at the door of power. […] I have differences with Emmanuel Macron but they are less serious than the risk of a victory for the far right”, she concludes.
09:26 – The most favorable poll for Macron for this 2nd round
According to a poll carried out yesterday evening by Odoxa for L’Obs, in the second round, the French would grant 54.5% of their votes to Emmanuel Macron against 45.5% to Marine le Pen. A lead “still just as fragile” with 25% of voters still hesitating… But this measure remains one of the most favorable to the outgoing president.
09:05 – Nearly 10 points to go expensive among the “small” candidates on the left
In this between two rounds, Emmanuel Macron still has nearly 10 points to pick up from what should be called the “small” left-wing candidates: will he convince the voters of the ecologist Yannick Jadot (less than 5%), the communist Fabien Roussel (2 to 3%) or even Anne Hidalgo (less than 2%), who quickly called to “beat the far right” by voting Macron? If he gave several signals at the end of his campaign and in particular during his meeting at La Défense (tripling of the Macron bonus, increase in aid for single mothers, resumption of the slogan “our lives are worth more than their profits” on the subject nursing homes), the candidate has been pounded by the left for his liberal measures and called “president of the rich” since the start of his five-year term, let alone since the start of the debates on this presidential election.
08:49 – Can Emmanuel Macron count on the left vote?
Undoubtedly much more than the vote of right-wing voters, Emmanuel Macron will see his score impacted by the left-wing vote in this second round of the presidential election. The approximately 22% of Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s voters during this first round do not seem, at first sight, the most inclined to transfer their votes to the outgoing president, even if the Insoumis leader insisted that “not a single voice “should not go” to Madame Le Pen. The Ifop poll mentioned above is instructive on this point, however, since 33% of Mélenchon voters in the first round say they want to vote Macron in the 2nd round against 23% for Marine Le Pen. But it is the abstention, the blank vote or the null vote which prevails in this sample with 44%.
08:31 – The Macron vote very marked on the right
Sign that the voters of the traditional right have partly focused on Emmanuel Macron: even the city of Neuilly-sur-Seine has fallen into the hands of the outgoing president. Emmanuel Macron is close to 50% in the first round in the former stronghold of Nicolas Sarkozy, Eric Zemmour is second there and Valérie Pécresse only finishes on the third step of the podium, with around 15% of the vote.
08:25 – Discordant voices on the right on the Macron vote
He embodied the most radical right during the LR primary organized in November and December last: “Personally, I will not vote Emmanuel Macron in the second round”, warned LR deputy Eric Ciotti, who does not hide his friendship for the candidate. far-right Eric Zemmour. Eric Ciotti had, as a reminder, obtained 25.59% of the votes during this primary in the first round then 39.05% in the second (out of some 115,000 voters) and therefore seems to represent a significant section of the right-wing electorate.
08:21 – A probable but uncertain postponement of the votes of Pécresse
For Emmanuel Macron, the postponement of the votes of Valérie Pécresse, who fails below 5% in the first round, will nevertheless be decisive. If the head of state has already seduced some of the voters of the Republican right in the first round, precipitating the fall of candidate LR, the choice of right-wing sympathizers who have remained loyal to their political family this Sunday remains uncertain. Valérie Pécresse herself indicated that she would vote “in conscience for Emmanuel Macron to prevent the far right from coming to power”, but did not give any formal voting instructions. An Ifop Fiducial poll for TF1 and LCI dated Sunday indicates that 35% of Pécresse voters questioned could vote for Emmanuel Macron and 35% for Marine Le Pen, 30% saying they prefer abstention, a blank vote or a null vote.
08:11 – Nothing is won for Emmanuel Macron in the second round of the presidential election
Hello and welcome to this live where we will follow the news of Emmanuel Macron in the interval between the two rounds of this presidential 2022. While at the same time 5 years ago, the victory of the candidate En Marche was almost no doubt, the postponement of the votes on the left will be decisive this time after the good score of Jean-Luc Mélenchon as well as the debacle of the PS and LR. Because if Emmanuel Macron made a higher score than in 2017 (27-28 % against 23-24% for Marine Le Pen), the gap with her far-right rival promises to be tighter in the second round, with a score of between 54% and 51% against 46%-49%, according to polls taken Sunday after the first round.
00:01 – What will Emmanuel Macron’s in-between rounds look like?
END OF LIVE. Le Figaro listed Emmanuel Macron’s travels and speeches between the two rounds. “The president-candidate intends to occupy the field as much as possible, by multiplying trips and interventions in the media”, writes the newspaper which evokes “a first visit to Hauts-de-France on Monday, then to Strasbourg on Tuesday”. Emmanuel Macron should appear in two 20H news. A “big meeting” could take place in Marseille.
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04/10/22 – 11:46 p.m. – Latest estimates: Emmanuel Macron falls below 28%
While the counting continues, and more specifically that of the big cities whose polling stations closed later than elsewhere in the country, Emmanuel Macron loses a little lead in the scores and returns below the 28% mark, with a score currently estimated at 27.6%, according to Ipsos-Sopra Steria. At the same time, Marine Le Pen is at 23%, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon goes up with currently 22.2%. Polling institutes speak of around 300,000 votes difference between the two, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon had missed 600,000 votes to go to the second round in 2017.
04/10/22 – 11:38 p.m. – A Macron-Mélenchon duel in the second round?
In recent hours, as the vote count progresses, Jean-Luc Mélenchon operates a “remontada” with 22.2% of the votes, against 23% for Marine Le Pen, supposed for the moment to reach the second round, according to the Ipsos-Sopra Steria estimate for France Télévisions, Radio France, France 24/RFI/MCD, Public Sénat/LCP National Assembly and Le Parisien. The margin of difference is reduced between the two candidates over the evening, in particular with the counting of the votes in the big cities, in particular in Paris where he obtains approximately 29% of the votes currently, behind Emmanuel Macron with 35%. Meanwhile, national press dailies such as Liberation or Le Parisien have already unveiled the front page of tomorrow’s newspaper, presenting a Macron-Le Pen face-to-face.
04/10/22 – 11:10 p.m. – François Bayrou wants to be the voice of caution
The president of the Modem had announced that he would vote for Emmanuel Macron in the first round. In an interview given to Parisian, he believes however, at the end of the first round giving the outgoing president in the lead, that one should not be too “euphoric”: “The imbeciles who would say of a presidential election that it is won on the evening of the first trick, that means they don’t know anything about it.” According to François Bayrou, the result of the first round “is an incredible denial to all those who claimed that the President of the Republic no longer had the confidence of the French people. To all those who claimed that he might be behind Madame Le Pen , or even not in the second round, from surveys that, once again, were inaccurate and biased.”
04/10/22 – 11:00 p.m. – Jean Lassalle: “I totally trust you to make your choice in two weeks”
Jean Lassalle tripled his score after the first round of the presidential election. The candidate, however, did not give voting instructions to those who supported him: “This time, I am voting, but my vote will only interest me, because I am returning tonight and at this moment a simple citizen. But since you were smart enough to choose us despite so many difficulties, I have complete confidence in you to make your choice in a fortnight’s time.”
04/10/22 – 11:00 p.m. – Liberation: “This time, it really sucks”
The last front page of Liberation before this Sunday’s election headlined: “Be clever, vote left”. The front page of Monday April 11, the day after the first round, title this time “This time, it really sucks”, on a black background separating the shot of Emmanuel Macron and that of Marine Le Pen. In the subtitle, the left-wing newspaper writes: “after a five-year period marked on the right, the dam vote [contre l’extrême-droite] will be more difficult” than in 2017.
04/10/22 – 10:50 p.m. – Nathalie Arthaud: “The workers do not have to endorse their future oppressor by their vote.”
Nathalie Arthaud, who managed to gather 0.6% of the votes at the end of the first round, made the following declarations: “If Marine Le Pen came to power, she would exercise in the interest of the richest, but in a more reactionary way and still authoritarian. Opposite, there is Macron, his displayed contempt for the workers and the poor, his disdain for everything that does not come from above. (…) Already, Macron is posing as a bulwark against the extreme right. Lies! His five-year term has strengthened him. The hatred of Macron in the working classes has pushed the most disoriented voters into the arms of Le Pen. His re-election will not make the fascistic forces disappear, on the contrary: these will find a stronger vigor, which will push Macron even further to the right. The workers do not have to vote to endorse their future oppressor.”
The Macron – Le Pen duel for the second round of the 2022 presidential election has already been the subject of numerous polls during the campaign. Each time, Emmanuel Macron will have been given the winner of the election, but with a gap that narrowed considerably in the final days before the ballot. As a reminder, during the last presidential election, Marine Le Pen was largely beaten in the second round with 33.90% of the vote against 66.10% for Emmanuel Macron.