While the RN was expected to emerge as the big winner of these legislative elections, it was ultimately the left that came out on top, followed by the presidential camp. Here are the final results.
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The results of the legislative elections have changed the political situation: the left is the leading political bloc in terms of the number of elected representatives in the Assembly, ahead of a Macronist group that remains above the far-right bloc. Here are the final results in terms of the number of seats, according to the Ministry of the Interior.
- NFP: 182 seats
- TOGETHER : 168 seats
- RN and allies: 143 seats
- LR: 46 seats
- DVD : 14 seats
- DVG (excluding NFP): 13 seats
- DVC and regionalists: 10 seats
- Others : 1 seat
This projection takes the data from the ministry by political label, we have carried out groupings to associate elected officials with the group in which they should a priori sit. It is likely that this Assembly will be temporary and that new groups will be created with these deputies, in particular to dissociate the LR and even within the current LFI group.
The final results of the legislative elections by political party are as follows, in number of seats obtained in the National Assembly: LFI: 77; PCF: 9; EELV: 28; PS: 54; Génération.s: 5; Miscellaneous left: 9; Miscellaneous left excluding NFP: 10; Renaissance: 98; MoDem: 34; Horizons: 26; Miscellaneous center, center right: 17; LR and Miscellaneous right: 67; LR/RN: 17; RN: 126
No political party has the capacity to form a solid majority at the end of these legislative elections. The left is not in a position to impose its political line and govern with a free hand, given its very relative majority. An NFP government would expose itself to a motion of censure in a few weeks and would lead the country into an instability that would lead to ungovernability.
Faced with this prospect, some on the left do not close the door to the possibility of a coalition with parties from the presidential camp and various groups, in order to have a majority in the Assembly and to act on the basis of a government contract. Others within the NFP, on the other hand, intend to implement only the program that they defended during the campaign. This divergence suggests intense negotiations on how to envisage the next events.
The news
The result of the first round of the legislative elections, which took place on Sunday, June 30, gave the RN and its allies the lead. Here are the official results revealed by the Ministry of the Interior:
The legislative elections are used to designate the 577 deputies of the National Assembly, representatives of “national sovereignty”. The second round of the legislative elections is organized between the candidates who have collected at least 12.5% of registered voters in the first round. If no candidate or only one has reached this threshold, the two leading candidates compete. Conversely, three-way or even four-way races can take place if three or four candidates reach this 12.5% of registered voters.
The second round of legislative elections often sees alliances and strategic withdrawals between parties being put in place to maximize the chances of victory against a common opponent. During this second round, the vote is by simple majority. The candidate who obtained the most votes is then elected to the Assembly.
Result of the legislative elections, majority and government
The results of legislative elections are decisive for French democracy and the way the country is governed. The party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats generally constitutes this majority, which can be either absolute (289 seats) or relative, thus determining the political direction and the nature of the laws passed during the mandate. A stable parliamentary majority ensures the effectiveness of the government and facilitates the implementation of its reforms. In the absence of an absolute majority, coalitions can form to govern.
The government must answer to parliament, which can confirm or reject its legitimacy by a vote of confidence or a motion of censure. Thus, it must align itself with a parliamentary majority resulting from the elections because at almost any time the government can be dismissed if a majority of deputies wish, by voting a motion of censure. Following the results of the legislative elections, the President of the Republic generally appoints a Prime Minister, either from his own party in the event of victory, or from the majority party if another tendency wins, or a figure who is agreed upon by a coalition majority. This last hypothesis would be a first in France under the Fifth Republic.
When the president and the parliamentary majority belong to opposing parties, we speak of cohabitation. In this situation, the prime minister, who holds day-to-day executive power, may have political positions that diverge from those of the president, which can lead to tensions and require compromises.