candidate soon? What the polls say

candidate soon What the polls say

MACRON. Emmanuel should declare himself a candidate for the presidential election in the coming days. According to the polls, he would come out on top in the first round and emerge victorious in the second round regardless of the candidate in front of him.

The essential

  • Will Emmanuel Macron be a candidate for a second term in the 2022 presidential election? Unless there is an unexpected and improbable turnaround, yes. The announcement of his candidacy should be made quickly. According to the indiscretions of several media, including LCI and the JDD, his candidacy will be formalized at the end of January or the beginning of February.
  • This Wednesday, Emmanuel Macron was in front of MEPs to present the priorities of the French presidency of the Council of the European Union. He complied with a long exercise of questions and answers and the elected officials did not hesitate to address subjects relating to his internal policy. Yannick Jadot challenged him without fear of going to the duel. “You made a great speech, everything was there. But you preferred to sign armistices with the lobbies rather than wage war on the causes of global warming. […] Stop listening to the smoky and nauseating theories of the great replacement, take care of the scientific reality of the great warming”, declared the EELV candidate for the European election.
  • The polls of voting intentions in the presidential election are flattering for Emmanuel, given the lead in the first round and able to win regardless of his opponent in the second. No French president in office – excluding cohabitation – has managed to be re-elected under the Fifth Republic.
  • Find Emmanuel Macron’s speech at the European Parliament on video and the latest news from his campaign on our news feed.

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LREM prepares for Emmanuel Macron’s campaign

LREM is preparing for Emmanuel Macron's campaign - Emmanuel Macron ©Christian Hartmann/AP/SIPA

January 21 campaign chronicle. 12:57 p.m. It is only a matter of time before Emmanuel Macron’s candidacy for his succession to the Elysee Palace is formalized. The president’s wife Brigitte Macron herself admitted that Emmanuel Macron “very much wanted” to start the race for the TF1 newscast on January 12. This desire is shared by all the politicians in La République en Marche and in the ranks we are working to launch the campaign in the coming days, at worst the next few weeks. Stanislas Guérini, the general delegate of the party confirmed it on the set of 4 Truths on France 2: “I confirm to you that we are preparing because we want the[Emmanuel Macron] be a candidate, we want to rally behind him and be able to continue to lead and transform the country. As in any good campaign, we reserve paper for the posters, and we take precautions for the rooms.

The candidacy of Emmanuel Macron could coincide with the exit from the tunnel of the epidemic crisis, it is in any case the wish which was expressed for the tenant of the Elysée and his campaign members. The announcement of the gradual lifting of restrictions could therefore be a first step towards the official entry of Emmanuel Macron into the presidential race. The Journal du Dimanche mentioned two possible scenarios for the date of the candidacy of the President of the Republic: a declaration of candidacy at the end of January after a drop in the number of hospitalizations, or a declaration a little later around mid -February which would then mark the start of a flash campaign.

Macron largely in the lead in voting intentions

January 21 campaign chronicle. 10:17 a.m. The latest poll on voting intentions in the first round of the presidential election, carried out by OpinionWay and published on Friday January 21, 2022, credits Emmanuel Macron with 24% of voting intentions. The Head of State would arrive well ahead of all his competitors and is given the winner against Valérie Pécresse in the second round (53%) and Marine Le Pen (56%).

The outgoing President of the Republic has not declared his intention to seek a new mandate, even if he said he “wants” to do so. Tested in all the polls, Emmanuel Macron seems promised his re-election, without too much difficulty. Taking advantage of a divided right and a puzzled left, the political space around the former minister of François Hollande has widened over the course of his mandate. If his five-year term has been marked by numerous crises, including those of the Yellow Vests as well as the Covid-19, the forties is not jostled by any of the other contenders for the presidential palace.

If the Heads of State having once again sought the confidence of the French did not formalize their candidacy until mid-February, at the earliest (timing in which Emmanuel Macron should register), the possible aspirant to his own succession reveals to the over the weeks the course he would like to set for a new mandate by unveiling a series of measures that resemble the outlines of a presidential program.

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Emmanuel Macron candidate for the presidential election in 2022?

He says he “wants” to, but still postpones the formalization of his decision. Emmanuel Macron has still not announced whether or not he intends to run for a second and final term as President of the Republic. While on the side of La République en Marche, everything has been in order of battle for several weeks to praise the merits of their leader, defend his record and convince the voters to support him for five more years at the Palace, the Head of State still wants to wait. “As soon as there are the sanitary conditions that allow it and that I have clarified this subject, in myself and in relation to the political equation, I will say what it is”, he said. explained in The Parisian of January 4, specifying that “this decision is consolidated in my heart of hearts”. In the history of the Fifth Republic, the official announcements of outgoing presidents seeking a new mandate were made no earlier than two months before the first round. Emmanuel Macron should, in turn, be part of this calendar. According to the Sunday newspaper, we can expect a declaration of candidacy at the end of January, as soon as the epidemic calms down. The president should in any case be a candidate no later than mid-February,

What are the poll results for Emmanuel Macron?

Emmanuel Macron is currently a favorite for his own succession. According to the numerous polls carried out, regardless of the institute, the President of the Republic appears at the top of the voting intentions in the first round, collecting between 20 and 26% of the votes of the electors. Moreover, in the second round, he would be confirmed in his role. However, the match promises to be tighter against Valérie Pécresse than Marine Le Pen. The head of state would be jostled by the president of the Île-de-France region (51 to 54% of the votes). A poll carried out on December 6 and 7 by Elabe even gave him the loser (48%). This is a unique scenario. Faced with the candidate of the National Rally, Emmanuel Macron would not tremble, accumulating between 54 and 58% of the vote.

What is Emmanuel Macron’s presidential program?

If he is not yet an official candidate, Emmanuel Macron has already set the course on certain subjects that he aims to cover for a new term.

  • He intends to return to the pension reform, abandoned until the national ballot. The president announced it: “We will have to work longer”. Pushing back the retirement age is therefore once again in the cards, to which is added “an exit from special regimes” wanted by the Head of State.
  • In an interview at Parisian in early January, he also announced that he would not increase Taxes, that it would review the working conditions and remuneration of certain professions such as caregivers and teachers. He wants to think about a inheritance tax reform to “accompany people to help them transmit modest heritages” and intends to fight against “the entrenchment of poverty”.
  • The theme of health imposes itself in this campaign after two years of pandemic. The medical sector has hammered its dissatisfaction and insisted on the lack of means and improvements despite the holding of Ségur. Also, the ministry says it is thinking about a “structural reform of the public hospital” without giving further details except that concerning the “floating of wages”. Medical desertification is also a theme that should be addressed in Emmanuel Macron’s program.
  • For the pane safe, Emmanuel Macron presented his plan in September to “think the police of 2030” with the objective of doubling the presence of police officers in the field over ten years. He also mentioned the presentation of the planning and orientation law for internal security in the course of 2022. With regard to theimmigration the president in office does not abandon his diptych “firmness” and “humanity”.
  • On the question of the energy transition, Emmanuel Macron’s reversal in favor of nuclear power is not quite unnoticed. He explains that he chose nuclear power because it is the “most decarbonized possible” alternative and the one for which France is technologically equipped. As for renewable energies, they are not yet a possible solution according to Emmanuel Macron because here again France lacks technologies to rely solely on intermittent energy production. “The day when we have storage technologies, renewable energy will be able to replace coal, gas and even nuclear power. But not today,” Emmanuel Macron told the European Parliament on Wednesday January 19.

Emmanuel Macron’s Twitter campaign

Biography of Emmanuel Macron

Born in 1977 in Amiens (Somme), Emmanuel Macron is the son of a couple of doctors. Eldest of the siblings, Emmanuel Macron has a brother and a sister. During his childhood, he spent a lot of time with his maternal grandmother, principal of a college, to whom he owes his political commitment. The young Emmanuel Macron lived a bourgeois and provincial childhood, and received an education with the Jesuits of Providence, in Amiens. After a baccalaureate S, he entered hypokhâgne and khâgne B/L at the Lycée Henri-IV in Paris, then joined Sciences Po Paris in 1998 and obtained, in parallel, a master’s degree and a master’s degree (license today, editor’s note) and a DEA (Master 2). He then entered the ENA in Strasbourg (2002-2004) then was assigned to the Finance Inspectorate after a stint at the French Embassy in Nigeria and the Oise prefecture. For three years, he worked at the General Inspectorate of Finance, then signed with the Rothschild investment bank in 2008, on the recommendation of Jacques Attali. He works on various important files, such as the takeover of Cofidis by Crédit Mutuel, the sale of the newspaper Le Monde, or the takeover of certain Nestlé activities by Pfizer.

Committed to the PS from 2006, he supported Ségolène Royal then François Hollande despite the Socialist Party’s refusal to invest him in Picardy for the legislative elections of 2007. Support for the future President of the Republic, the latter offered him to become Deputy Secretary General of the Elysée in 2012, before appointing him Minister of the Economy in 2014. A position he held for two years, before resigning to run for the presidential election and settle in the Elysée, beating Marine The pen.

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