All week, we take stock of the possible outcome of the war in Ukraine. In this second episode, we find Charles Haquet and Charlotte Lalanne, journalists in the World department of L’Express, to discuss the ongoing negotiations in the greatest secrecy.
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The team: Charlotte Baris (presentation and writing), Jules Krot (editing and direction)
Credits: Le Figaro, France 24, France Info
Music and dressing: Emmanuel Herschon/Studio Torrent
Logo: Jérémy Cambour
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Charlotte Baris: In the spring of 2022, a few weeks after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the war could have ended. In April of that year, in Istanbul, delegations from each of the two countries met, under the leadership of Turkish leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Meetings took place beforehand, and a text was developed.
It is written that Ukraine must renounce joining any military alliance, notably NATO, that it must never “receive, produce or acquire” nuclear weapons, nor have foreign weapons or troops on its territory. In return, the Ukrainians would benefit from a security mechanism, providing for the intervention of other states in the event of an armed attack. Crimea is excluded from this potential agreement, remaining in the bosom of Moscow. The fate of other separatist territories such as Donetsk and Luhansk has not been decided.
Finally, before the signing in Turkey, Russia reportedly demanded that Russian be recognized as Ukraine’s second official language, that sanctions be lifted and that proceedings before the International Criminal Court be dropped. Faced with these additions, the Ukrainians would have slammed the door… influenced, according to the Russians, by the West. All these reversals are difficult to verify, but this event shows that diplomacy is working behind the scenes to end the war. And after almost three years of conflict, everything could well accelerate.
To go further
Ukraine: Zelensky’s “victory plan” to force Russia into peace
Ilya Yashin: “Everyone is tired of the war in Ukraine, except the crazy ones”
In Africa, this new shadow war between Ukraine and Russia