ANALYSIS: What is impossible today may be possible in a few months

In February, Ukraine’s Defense Ministry warned that Russia was firing at least three times more shells than Ukraine along the more than 150-mile-long front line. If Russia fires more than 6,000 artillery shells, Ukraine can defend itself with 2,000. Everyone understands that it is a hopeless disadvantage. The Czech Republic told about its grenade deals just over a week ago, and asked other countries for help to pay. Around 20 EU countries, including Sweden, joined the project. Who sold to the Czech Republic is not known. What significance do these grenades have in the war? Ukraine can defend itself better against attacking Russian forces. For the soldiers in the trenches, getting what they have been asking for for so long can also have a psychological effect. The balance of power changes. The chances of fighting back increase. What does cohesion look like in the EU when it comes to support for Ukraine? Hungary does not want to send weapons to Ukraine and does not do so either. Otherwise, it can be said that the cohesion is good. Now there is a structure to help Ukraine not only in the war, but with the entire adjustment that will be required before membership in the EU in the future. The EU and the rest of Europe see great dangers in developments in Russia. Within Europe, extensive measures are underway to equip and be prepared for attacks and other contingencies initiated in or by Russia. Macron has opened to send French soldiers to Ukraine, are other countries prepared to take that step? It depends on the development of events going forward. Right now, the French president is alone in raising the issue publicly. His statement was about instructors and help with on-site maintenance of weapons systems in Ukraine, but some have chosen to interpret it as if France is considering sending combat units to Ukraine. Maybe Emmanuel Macron’s statement was a kind of test of public opinion? Is the idea that a European country can fight for Ukraine in Ukraine completely impossible? Now it’s probably like that, but what about in six months or a few months? Nobody knows.

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