Analysis: Trump has become the early favorite because his campaigning is more inventive than Harris | 2024 US presidential election

Analysis Trump has become the early favorite because his campaigning

WASHINGTON Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gave a master’s style example of wasting time in the lead when he went to fry french fries at a McDonald’s in a small Pennsylvania town last weekend.

The pictures spread like wildfire, and for days the debate about Trump focused on whether or not he looked like a character photographed by a photographer of everyday American life. Norman Rockwell of paintings.

Trump has been slowly but surely rising in the polls for the past few weeks.

All the most famous election predictions maintain the media estimate the chance of Trump’s victory to be slightly more than 50 percent now.

In the betting market, Trump’s chance of winning is estimated to be around 60 percent. Also on Wall Street, more and more the investment fund prepares Trump’s victory, and Trump’s own the value of a media company’s stock has almost tripled in the past month.

Of course, Trump’s victory is not certain, but he would be a slight early favorite if the election day were today.

Trump directed attention to the French pictures, when there would have been a more significant topic.

Served as White House chief of staff during Trump’s presidency John Kelly quoth of The New York Times in an interview that he thinks Trump is a “fascist by general definition”.

Kelly also said that Trump has often spoken in a gentle tone about the dictator of Nazi Germany About Adolf Hitler and that he wished he had equally loyal generals.

Kelly previously also served as commander of the armed forces during Trump’s presidency Mark Milley was saidthat Trump is a “fascist to the core”.

Democratic presidential candidate Terrible Harris of course he grabbed the news and talked about Trump’s danger in front of his official residence, but Trump has not been put under any pressure.

Instead of warnings, pictures of Trump making french fries spread on social media. Instagram and Tiktok want to be feel-good social media and weed out political content. Memes about Trump get exposure, Harris’s serious speeches don’t.

Harris tried to bring up the topic as well about Trump being too old and tired to be president because he had canceled a few interviews.

The blow didn’t land, because in reality Trump has been campaigning at an amazing pace for his age for weeks on end.

of The New York Times according to monitoring, during the fall, Trump has clearly organized more campaign events and given more than twice as many interviews as Harris.

Trump actually canceled the interviews, because in his leadership position it is not worth taking the risk of being tested by critical journalists.

In tough interviews, they would try to get an answer from him to the claims of his former close circle about his Nazi sympathies.

Likewise, Trump avoids the tough questions about how he has a close relationship or his backer, a billionaire With Elon Musk is now the leader of Russia to Vladimir Putin.

Today, Trump goes to talk nice on the world’s most popular podcast Joe Rogan’s with, and the day after tomorrow he will organize an event in the world’s most famous arena, Madison Square Garden. Media attention is guaranteed.

Trump fills the media space with these anticswhen Harris’s time to introduce himself to those who have just woken up to election campaigning is running out.

Throughout the fall, voters have answered in polls that they need more specific positions from Harris on substantive issues.

Harris has emphasized that he is a candidate for change in this election, but on the other hand, he would not have done anything differently than Biden.

In his speeches, Harris emphasizes the importance of a strong middle class, but all promises are marked by caution. Almost no one knows how Harris would differ as president from Biden, who is more unpopular than Trump.

Trump, on the other hand, has made his promises very clear. Inflation down, taxes down, immigration down. Customs up, oil drilling up.

America’s most famous election forecaster Nate Silver describedthat Trump conducts his campaign concisely like a lawyer advertising his services in roadside advertisements. Better Call Trump!

Trump’s message could be summed up like this: It doesn’t matter how, but I will fight for you and take care of these things.

Harris may not get better than this introduced himself to the people, because he has decided to rely on the familiar and safe strategy of the Democrats in the final meters of his campaign.

He talks more about Trump than himself.

Even in the early autumn, Harris spoke of Trump disparagingly and called the former president strange rather than dangerous.

Harris’ campaign, which offers more good feelings and less concreteness, was thought to give the Democrats permission to rejoice and not only fear Trump.

Next week, however, Harris’ top event will be a speech in Washington at the same spot where Trump addressed his supporters before they stormed the Capitol. Symbolism is strongly present, but the tone of the occasion is grave.

With election day approaching, Trump is once again the one to offer better entertainment to the spectacle-hungry American society.

Trump can still lose the election because about half of the people can’t stand him. However, he has again shown the accuracy of his political senses and his skills as a campaigner.

The volume on the Trump show only gets louder before Election Day, and Harris can’t seem to make her voice heard.

yl-01