THE PEN. Marine Le Pen comes second after the first round of the 2022 presidential election, which took place yesterday. The result of the RN candidate should be much higher than that of 5 years ago. The polls announce a much tighter duel with Emmanuel Macron…
09:14 – The victory of Marine Le Pen “difficult” to consider for Robert Ménard
Robert Ménard is a supporter of Marine Le Pen but the mayor of Béziers does not give up his usual outspokenness, on BFMTV he considers that the victory of the candidate of the National Rally is “difficult” to consider. He assures, however, that the deputy of Pas-de-Calais is better prepared for the between-two-rounds: “She has worked a lot. She is clearer in what she does, in her mind”, estimates- he judging that the debate on April 21 will be “of better quality”.
09:06 – Marine Le Pen “can do without” the union with Eric Zemmour according to Robert Ménard
The mayor of Béziers, Robert Ménard, believes that Marine Le Pen can win and is “able to unite if she continues to distance herself from what has been said Eric Zemmour on a number of points “? On the set of BFMTV, the city councilor cites as examples the subjects of the reception of refugees, comments on women or immigration. We understand in his statements that Robert Ménard does not wish to respond to the request of Eric Zemmour and Marion Maréchal to organize the meeting, an alliance which the RN “can do without” according to Robert Ménard.
08:55 – Ménard calls on the candidate to “distance herself” from the stunted right of Zemmour
The clash between Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen began last night at 8 p.m. This morning the outgoing president’s supporters denounce Marine Le Pen’s strategy of giving the impression of change, of being less radical while his program takes up the key ideas of the extreme right. But the defense is well prepared by the Le Pen camp and this morning on BFMTV, Robert Ménard indicated that it was “a mistake to say that [la candidate] has not changed”. He adds, however, that he “would like it to change even more” and therefore this change he calls above all to “take his distance” from the “stunted, backward-looking right, which Eric embodied very well Zemmour”.
08:48 – A meeting at the RN to get in working order before the 2nd round of the presidential election
Marine Le Pen brings together her entire campaign team this Monday, April 11, the day after the first round of the presidential election. At 2:30 p.m., his relatives and collaborators are expected at the Hoche salon in the 8th arrondissement of Paris, the press will be welcomed during the first minutes of the meeting, a way to show themselves and have a word in front of the cameras the day after the qualification of the candidate of the National Gathering.
08:40 – Marine Le Pen in a meeting on April 14 and 21
Marine Le Pen’s campaign for the second round of the presidential election is already being organized. The candidate of the National Rally will give two meetings until April 24, the first is scheduled for April 14 in Avignon and the second will be held the day after the debate between the two rounds, April 21 in Arras. Marine Le Pen is therefore betting on cities that are very favorable to her, such as Avignon, but also on territories where she has yet to convince, such as Arras, where Emmanuel Macron’s candidacy is more popular.
08:33 – The postponement of the votes of the voters of Mélenchon and Pécresse in favor of Le Pen possible?
Beyond the far right, Marine Le Pen could collect the votes of some Republican voters, especially from the most right-wing branch. According to Ifop Fiducial estimates for TF1 and LCI, the 4.79% of voters who voted for Valérie Pécresse would split in two with 35% of them ready to vote for Marine Le Pen and all the more inclined to support Emmanuel Macron. Some voice reserves can also be found in the electorate of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, if the Insoumis called for leaving no voice to the RN candidate, 23% of voters could turn to Marine Le Pen and 33% would prefer Emanuel Macron.
08:26 – Does Marine Le Pen have voice reserves?
When she qualified for the second in the 2017 presidential election, Marine Le Pen did not have a vote reserve. On the contrary, five years later in addition to having a higher score (23.41%) she can count on the report of the votes which will be almost “automatic” according to Luc Rouban, CNRS research director at the Center for Political Research of Sciences Po, electors of Eric Zemmour and Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, i.e. a vote reserve of at least 9%.
08:14 – The formation of the Republican front against Marine Le Pen
Voting instructions were legion last night from 8 p.m. and the publication of the results of the first round of the presidential election and the majority of candidates who emerged from the race called for a blockade of the National Rally candidate. Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Philippe Poutou insisted that no vote should go to Marine Le Pen, votes which are therefore more against the RN rather than for Emmanuel Macron. Other unsuccessful contenders such as Valérie Pécresse, Anne Hidalgo, Fabien Roussel and Yannick Jadot have indicated that they would vote for the outgoing president but more in opposition to Marine Le Pen than by joining the project of the candidate of La République en Marche.
08:09 – Marine Le Pen strong with the support of former far-right candidates
Marine Le Pen received the support of these former opponents of the far right and the sovereignist right shortly after the publication of the results of the first round of the presidential election. Eric Zemmour, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan and Florian Philippot called to vote for the candidate of the National Rally in the second round.
08:04 – The RN scores better than in the first round of the 2017 presidential election
The qualification of Marine Le Pen is a first victory for the National Rally, but the candidate is also pleased to have improved her score compared to 2017. The candidate for the presidential election goes from 21.4% of the votes obtained during the first round at 23.41% last night, in number of votes the difference amounts to 500,000 votes.
08:00 – Marine Le Pen records the best result of the first round in the history of the far-right party
23.41%, this is the best result recorded by the National Rally in the history of the far-right party. Note that Marine Le Pen has reached the second round of the presidential election for the second consecutive time with a considerable lead over the traditional right and left, once again the situation is unprecedented for the political formation.
07:54 – Marine Le Pen’s qualification confirmed
The second round of the presidential election will play well between Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron. After the estimates of the polling institutes which went in this direction yesterday evening it is the partial results on 97% of the stripped ballots which confirm this qualification. The National Rally candidate is currently 23.41% three points behind the outgoing president and his 27.6%
04/10/22 – 11:25 p.m. – Qualification confirmed for Marine Le Pen
On France 2, the managing director of Ipsos, maintains that there will be no reversal of places between Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Marine Le Pen: “In the current state, no. But the gap is is well tightened. We have Emmanuel Macron who distances Marine Le Pen by 4pts. The two qualified are indeed Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen but Jean-Luc Mélenchon is very close and this is the lesson of the evening: it is the tightening of the gap, the rise of Jean-Luc Mélenchon.”
04/10/22 – 11:10 p.m. – The National Rally largely in the lead in the Pyrénées-Orientales
In the Pyrénées-Orientales, Marine Le Pen is given at the top of the partial results but the counts in the big cities should not change the situation. ActuPerpignan indicates that the candidate of the National Rally is given at 32.74% against 20.54% for Emmanuel Macron and 19.20% for Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
04/10/22 – 11:03 p.m. – In Menton, Marine Le Pen leads the first round
In Menton, in the Alpes-Maritimes, the results of the first round are complete and Marine Le Pen comes first Le Pen with 31.78% of the vote. Behind her, Emmanuel Macron obtained 23.50% of the vote, Zemmour was third with 14.75% and Mélenchon fourth at 13.93%.
It will therefore be a new Macron – Le Pen duel in the second round of the presidential election. This confrontation was quite expected and has already been the subject of numerous polls during the campaign. Each time, Emmanuel Macron will have been given the winner of the election, but with a gap that narrowed considerably in the final days before the ballot. Marine Le Pen is given only 1 to 2 points behind, it is very clearly within the margin of error of the pollsters. As a reminder, during the last presidential election, Marine Le Pen was largely beaten in the second round with 33.90% of the vote against 66.10% for Emmanuel Macron.