A study shows how best to survive in Game of Thrones

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Game of Thrones is above all known for letting numerous characters die in the most brutal way. But a certain group of people has good chances of survival, as a study showed.

What kind of study is that? In 2018, the hype about Game of Thrones was huge. The release of the eighth and final season was imminent. Two scientists from Australia were also inspired. As epidemiologists, they were very interested in mass dying and its causes.

  • She was also particularly honorable, according to her own statements, secondary goal: “[…] To give the authors an excuse to look at the first seven seasons again before the final season will be shown worldwide ”.

    • So the two examined the death of 330 important characters from the first seven seasons of Game of Thrones (via injepijournal.biomedcentral.com). They meticulously put up statistics and compared their results with the real world.

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    Who is loyal dies

    To find out who has the best chances of survival in Game of Thrones, we first take a look at the most common causes of death. Because that death occurs sooner than later is very likely.

  • 186 of 330 characters examined, i.e. over 50 percent.
  • By far the most often death occurred.
  • Only two characters died of old age, namely Maester Aemon and the old NAN.

    • This high death rate will probably not surprise any viewer of Game of Thrones. But the study went into further detail and looked at the exact causes and circumstances of the death.

  • 80 percent of the death took place in Westeros, in his own home.
  • 73.7 percent of the characters died of injuries, especially on the head and neck, including 13 examinations.
  • The reasons for the fatal incidents were attacks (63 percent), slaughter (24.4 percent) and executions (5.4 percent).

    • Admittedly, these numbers encourage little. Is there no one who only has a chance?

    How do you survive in Game of Thrones? In fact, the two researchers were able to delimit a very specific group of people who statistically survived with a greater probability:

  • Women who are born high and have changed their loyalty at least once in the series.

    • Admittedly, you can’t do anything for the first two points. The only survival tip that we can give is: never be loyal! At least not if you live in Westeros.

    No woman, but a survivor who changed the page: Tyrion

    As another indicator, they identified the screentime of the characters. Figures that can only be seen very short or particularly long have particularly good chances of survival. On the other hand, it looks bad for the average character.

    Do we live like in Westeros?

    Game of Thrones is of course primarily a fantasy series that is supposed to entertain. Statistics cannot be transferred one to one to our world. Nevertheless, the series is sometimes strongly based on historical role models, for example on the so -called rose wars from the 15th century. So it can be exciting to make comparisons.

    Unfortunately, the high death rates are not without real model.

  • It is assumed that around 15 to 25 percent of all deaths were violent in prehistoric period.

    • Over time, the murder rate per 100,000 inhabitants continued to drop, here using the example of Europe (via ourworldindata.org):

  • Middle Ages: 40
  • Baroque: 10
  • Today: 3

    • Why is that? As the cornerstone for this development, the two scientists first state the emergence of nation states. With the increasingly important trade, living people at some point became more valuable than the dead.

    They also list a few factors that are decisive for the falling murse rates, for example: democratic government structures, the provision of public goods (such as schools and hospitals) and violence prevention.

  • No wonder that it is so dangerous in Westeros. Most of these factors are missing there.

    • There are also overlaps for the particularly endangered groups of people. We remember that particularly good chances of survival in Game of Thrones had high -born women.

  • In the real world, too, the murder rate in socially economic strong countries is lower.
  • Only about 20 percent of all murder victims are female.

    • Book author George RR Martin has once again proven how cleverly he can pack real social phenomena in gripping fantasy. In the Prequel series House of the Dragon, too, he was based on historical events. You can find out more about this here on Meinmmo: The war that inspired the “House of the Dragon” had no kite, but everything else is suspicious

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