There are many signs that a ceasefire could be possible in the near future in the war between Israel and Hezbollah.
20:24•Updated 20:27
According to various sources, the Israeli military leadership is ready to end hostilities in Gaza and Lebanon.
Israel has been at war for over a year against Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Both are terrorist organizations supported by Iran.
According to the army leadership it has achieved in its operations what it is possible to achieve militarily.
Professor of Middle Eastern Studies at the University of Helsinki Hannu Juusola states that the position of the Israeli army has been known for a long time.
– The army and the wider security apparatus are of the opinion that the profits should be repatriated, and that it no longer makes sense to continue the war.
Juusola estimates that the army’s view is also influenced by the fact that Israeli soldiers have died in Lebanon in recent weeks.
Hezbollah may no longer call for a cease-fire in Gaza
Prime Minister of Lebanon Najib Mikati has said that a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel would be possible in the next few days. However, on Friday he considered Israel to have rejected mediation attempts aimed at a truce.
However, according to Mikati, Hezbollah would no longer link the ceasefire to ending the war in Gaza. This would allow for a separate ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel.
Juusola considers it possible that a ceasefire could be established in the near future.
– Regarding Lebanon, the chances of a ceasefire are clearly better than in Gaza, assuming that Hezbollah agrees to break this connection.
Yesterday, US ambassadors were in Israel to negotiate an end to the war against Hezbollah. Today, the United States is reported to have proposed a unilateral ceasefire to Lebanon earlier this week.
Today, Israel has continued attacks on Hezbollah’s support area in South Beirut. Hezbollah, on the other hand, has fired into northern Israel.
Netanyahu still locked in “unconditional victory”
Israel and Hamas are conducting indirect negotiations on a ceasefire through Qatar.
Juusola states that achieving a ceasefire in Gaza is more difficult than in Lebanon.
Egypt has proposed a temporary ceasefire in Gaza, during which Israeli hostages held by Hamas would be exchanged for Palestinian prisoners in Israeli prisons.
Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu the staff has indicated that Netanyahu would be willing to accept a short ceasefire to release the hostages. Netanyahu is said to have given no guarantees of a more durable agreement.
Netanyahu is reportedly still stuck on the fact that Israel must destroy Hamas in its entirety.
– The main problem is that the Israeli government may still be unwilling to end the war without a complete victory. Hamas, on the other hand, demands that Israel withdraw completely from Gaza as part of the ceasefire, says Juusola.
The defense minister has called Netanyahu’s goal nonsense
The Israeli military and security agencies are more willing to compromise than Netanyahu.
Defense secretary by Yoav Gallant is said to have called Netanyahu’s stated goal of absolute victory behind closed doors nonsense.
American news channel According to CNN Gallant this week sent a memo to the Prime Minister and the War Cabinet stating that the war had lost its direction.
Gallant has also said that both Hamas and Hezbollah are already ineffective as proxy armies for Iran.
The US presidential election next week will affect the situation in the Middle East. And the Democrats Terrible Harris that of the Republicans Donald Trump have said they do not want to see war in the Middle East.