Donald Trump: a big lead in the first results, projections show him as the winner

Has Donald Trump already made a difference over Kamala Harris? While the polls have put them in the dark in recent weeks, the first results of the American elections, published in the early hours of this Wednesday morning, French time, were very favorable to the Republican candidate. Shortly after 2 a.m., the latter was already credited with around a hundred electors out of the 270 needed for his re-election, compared to around thirty for Kamala Harris. This has since caught up a little, moving to more than 70 voters shortly before 3 a.m., but the lead remains notable for the Republican candidate.

Donald Trump has already won the American election in Arkansas, Oklahoma, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, South Carolina and West Virginia. He has a clear lead in Georgia. A whirlwind start which can always be misleading, these states being for the most part won by the Republicans, but which remains significant. The reference site Decision Desk HQin the United States, which establishes projections in real time, increased its estimate of the final result around 2:30 a.m. to no less than 282 voters for Donald Trump against 256 for his rival. The site, which also calculates a probability of victory, saw the latter rise to more than 72% in favor of the former president. These predictions, which change every minute, have been unstable since then, but still clearly in his favor. A virtual snub for the Vice President if these data were confirmed.

After voting in Florida, this Tuesday, November 5, Donald Trump spoke to the press accompanied by his wife, Melania Trump, about the outcome of the vote: “I have confidence, we win with a lot of effort In advance, I have the impression that the Republicans are there,” he said. “It was a very good campaign, I have no regrets, it was perhaps my best campaign,” he said.

If the national polls gave a slight advantage to the Democrats, of 1.2 points, it is in fact at the state level that the vote is being played out, notably around 7 states which change their political color from one election to the next. the other: swing states. Donald Trump would come first in 5 of them, according to the compilation of polls carried out by RealClear Politics on November 5. Be careful, nothing is decided in his territories: Trump’s lead oscillates between +0.4 points (Wisconsin) and +2.8 percentage points (Arizona) when he is placed in the lead. The battle promises to be very close between the two candidates.