It’s difficult to decide between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in Wisconsin, the two candidates are close to each other according to the latest polls. A look back at the electoral habits of this “swing state”.
Find the latest trends and polls on the American election
The duel promises to be extremely close between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in Wisconsin. This state in the northeast of the United States is one of the 7 swing states in the country, namely those in which the result is uncertain and swings to the left or right depending on the elections. Nationally, the Democratic candidate is currently in the lead with 48.3% of voting intentions, a small point ahead of her Republican competitor, Donald Trump, credited with 47.3% of voting intentions according to 270towin. A trend close to that observed in Wisconsin. Very clever will be the one who will determine the winner in this State as the estimates remain uncertain.
What do the polls say between Trump and Harris in Wisconsin?
A few hours before the American presidential election, there is no telling which of the two candidates will win in Wisconsin. The compilation of the latest polls 270towin gives the Democratic candidate a very slight lead of 0.8 points. Kamala Harris benefits from 48.7% of voting intentions, neck and neck with the former American real estate mogul: 47.9%, according to data from November 3.
The latest studies compiled by the site FiveThirtyEight estimate an almost similar lead for Kamala Harris: 48.2% against 47.4% for Donald Trump. Electoral trends still have time to evolve, but the match should be tense until the end to try to win the 10 major voters in Wisconsin.
Does Wisconsin lean more Democratic or Republican?
Wisconsin obtained statehood in May 1848. Rather Republican until 1928, it switched to the Democratic side during World War II. From the 1940s until 1984, the Republicans won the majority of elections in this state, before the Democrats regained control of this territory, from 1988 to 2012. Since then, it has been presented as a Democratic stronghold. But in 2016, Wisconsin and its 10 major voters were narrowly won by Donald Trump, before, once again, being recovered by Joe Biden four years later, in particular thanks to the vote of the suburbs and women, a sign of its strategic importance in the American presidential election.
As a reminder, the Republican convention of July 2024 took place in Wisconsin, and the Vice-President of the United States Kamala Harris organized her first campaign meeting there, in Chicago, as if to try to establish the influence of the Democrats in this state. The vote could actually swing depending on the vote of the 180,000 unregistered Latino voters. The candidate who manages to convince them should win in this state and take one more step towards the White House.