The world has its eyes on the United States. More than 240 million voters have until Tuesday to choose the 47th American president. In this breathtaking campaign, Democrats and Republicans fought a bitter battle to conquer the Oval Office of the White House. Who, Donald Trump, survivor of an assassination attempt, or Kamala Harris, pulled out of the hat to compensate for Joe Biden’s crime, will win the presidential election? The latest polls still show them neck and neck… In Ukraine, in the Middle East, but also in Europe, the world is waiting to know who will lead the world’s leading power for the next four years. On D-1 of the election, L’Express offers you its best articles to better analyze this already historic election.
Donald Trump or Kamala Harris, who will win? The five scenarios of the American election
The November 5 vote will be played in a handful of states where the two candidates are neck and neck. L’Express assessed the chances of victory for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in each of the “Swing States”.
>> Here are the five possible scenarios
The worrying analysis of David Frum, Bush’s ex-pen: “If Trump wins, it will be the end…”
The neoconservative, magazine editorialist The Atlanticis convinced: in the event of victory, the former president will be much more dangerous than during his first term. His goal? “Get revenge. And he’ll be surrounded by people who want to help him.”
>> Read our big interview
Russia, Israel, China… What would Kamala Harris’ foreign policy look like?
If elected, the Democratic vice-president born in California 59 years ago, of Indian and Jamaican parents, will leave her mark on foreign policy. The end of an era.
>> Read our decryption
“Why do so many people still support Trump?” : the mystery that haunts part of America
Despite the scandals and ever more outrageous outings, the Republican candidate still appeals to many Americans. A surreal situation in the eyes of his opponents. But not necessarily irrational.
>> Read our analysis
Kamala Harris on the path to Hillary Clinton? “What the Democrats still haven’t understood…”
While he remains optimistic about the Democratic candidate’s chances of victory against Trump, Alex Shepard, journalist at The New Republic sees unreassuring signals in the way Kamala Harris is campaigning…
>> Read our big interview
The American election seen from the “Dallas” ranch: “Trump and JR Ewing, two billionaires the workers love”
The county where the ranch which served as the setting for the legendary 1980s series is located mainly voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020. Is the Republican candidate guaranteed to remain the king of oil on November 5?
>> Read our report
Peter Turchin: “There is a real risk of collapse of the United States”
For the American academic, founder of cliodynamics and author of “Coming Chaos”, even democratic societies can experience a “Nero moment”. The fault in particular is an overproduction of elites…
>> Read our interview
Jérémie Gallon: “In the event of Trump’s victory, Europe is no better prepared than in 2016”
The lawyer and former diplomat, a fine connoisseur of the United States, analyzes for L’Express the main issues for Europe in the American presidential election on November 5.
>> Read our big interview
🎥 January 6, 2025, a new assault on the Capitol? Donald Trump and the worst-case scenario
The Republican candidate’s rhetoric raises fears of a conflagration if the result is close. But a new electoral law could change everything. Video explanations.
🎙️ “Operation White House”: the crucial entourages of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump
Who are Kamala Harris and Donald Trump surrounding themselves with to make a difference in the American presidential election? Find all the episodes of our series on those who fully took part in the campaign of the two candidates.