In SVT/Verian’s latest opinion poll, 6.1 percent of the respondents stated that they would vote for the Green Party in a parliamentary election. It is certainly far from the EU election result in June of 13.85 percent, but if you look at domestic politics, this measurement gives the party the best rating in a Verian survey since autumn 2018.
– Their rise already started in connection with Amanda Lind taking office, so they have had an upward trend since April until now, says Per Söderpalm, head of opinion at Verian.
However, the fact that the Green Party makes its best survey in six years does not affect the balance of power between the opposition and the government base.
– What has happened during the spring and summer is that the Green Party has grown at the expense of the Social Democrats, says Per Söderpalm.
The decline of the Christian Democrats is the only statistically certain change compared to the last survey, which was carried out in June. Change in brackets. Photo: SVT
KD back under the ban after EU lift
In connection with the EU election campaign, the Christian Democrats also advanced strongly in public opinion. But the upswing seen in the early summer was followed in August by a statistically certain decline, and the party is now back at a level below the parliamentary ban.
– This figure of 3.6 is completely in line with the opinion support the party has had for a long time. What stands out is that they had a strong survey in June in connection with the EU elections, says Per Söderpalm.
Unusually little politics in the media during the summer
Apart from the decline of the Christian Democrats, there are no statistically certain changes compared to the survey in June. According to Per Söderpalm, Verian’s head of public opinion, one of the explanations for the relatively stagnant state of opinion may be that domestic politics have received a record low amount of space in the media this summer.
– We measure how much the parties and party leaders are seen in the media, and we have not seen as little publicity as there was during the month of July for many years. After the EU election campaign and the Almedal, it has almost been like a vacuum, he says.
Slight advantage for the opposition
Since the turn of the year, the distance between the blocs has been around four to seven percentage points, in favor of the opposition. Also in this survey, S, C, MP and V together gather a majority of voters’ support: 51.7 percent.
46.4 percent state that they would vote for M, KD, L or SD, while 1.9 percent state that they would not vote for any of the parties in the Riksdag.