No new Prime Minister, no new government, since July 7, nothing has changed in France. And the national holiday of July 14 took place this year in an atmosphere of political crisis. The designation of a new president of the National Assembly, on July 18, will therefore mark the first concrete step towards the political reconfiguration generated by the second round of the legislative elections. The challenge is to determine the balance of power between the three blocs represented in the Assembly.
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Rarely has the election for the perch aroused so much anticipation. In a climate of post-dissolution uncertainty, the designation of the president of the National Assembly takes on the appearance of a test for possible alliances. Because with three blocs incapable of governing alone, finding partners is a condition sine qua non…and the side that wins the bet will have scored a decisive point for Matignon.
Yaël Braun-Pivet, the outgoing candidate, is running for her own succession. But will she achieve unanimity in a divided central bloc? On the left, the leader of the socialist group Boris Vallaud would also like to take on this role, as would the environmentalists Sandrine Rousseau and Cyrielle Chatelain, or the communist André Chassaigne.
Read alsoFrench legislative elections: left-wing deputies return to the Assembly determined to govern
Will the Republican Right play its card or will it support Yaël Braun-Pivet? And what will the RN do?
The beginning of the week promises to be rich in negotiations, because after the presidency, all the key positions must be allocated.
Negotiations that Emmanuel Macron will follow closely, he who hopes that his camp will be able to remain at the heart of a unifying government and who should accept the resignation of Gabriel Attal by Tuesday July 16 so that the 17 ministers elected as deputies can vote in the Assembly.
Read alsoLegislative elections in France: a fragmented Assembly put to the test by the culture of compromise