Legislative elections in France: what now?

what future for the government shaken by the immigration law

Once the surprises of the results of the legislative election on Sunday, July 7, have passed, the time will come for political lessons to be learned from the election and for negotiations for the composition of the new government with a fragmented assembly.

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For the left, the New Popular Front, which came out on top in the poll with 182 seats, must “govern” and implement the programme it presented to the voters. Jean-Luc Mélenchonfor LFI, the first to speak on Sunday evening, recalled this, followed by Marine Tondelier for the Greens and by Olivier Faure for the socialists. A first meeting brought together Marine Tondelier, Olivier Faure, Manuel Bompard (the LFI negotiator) and Fabien Roussel (PCF) on Sunday evening to “analyze” the results. “The work will continue today, all day, probably tomorrow and the days that follow,” said Ms. Tondelier, who invited the president to ask as early as this Monday ” a prime minister’s name ” to the left coalition.

Read alsoIn the headlines: the left wins the legislative elections in France…

It is up to the head of state to appoint the Prime Minister and it is likely that Emmanuel Macron will initially ask Gabriel Attal, who is due to resign this Monday morningto stay at Matignon to deal with current affairs…

The NFP does not have a majority in Parliament. The Prime Minister, who announced on Sunday evening that he would present his resignation on Monday morning, had raised after the results the prospect of a ” plural assembly ” in which the “republican” political forces can work together. On paper, the option of a coalition is conceivable, analyzed Valérie Gas, from RFI’s political service, but in political reality, it will be difficult to build.

None ” absolute majority cannot be led by the extremes ” And ” the centre of gravity of power will now be more than ever in the hands of Parliament (and therefore) of our fellow citizens “, added the Prime Minister, Gabriel Attal.

Big disappointment on the RN side

On Sunday evening, when the results were announced, there was disillusionment on the side of the National Rally, with a few tears on faces, as some already saw Jordan Bardella at Matignon. The RN and its “ciottist” allies took third place, with 143 seats. The polls, however, it was a warning sign, were less and less favorable as the second round approached.

Among the hundreds of members present last night in a pavilion in the Bois de Vincennes, many were raging against the New Popular Front, a “tinkering alliance” and the Republican blockade that cost the RN dozens of seats. But the party will also have to question its strategy between the two rounds: the controversy over dual nationals or the clumsiness, or even the downright racist remarks of certain candidates. Facts that count when in certain constituencies, the result was decided by a few hundred votes. The RN executives will have to learn from this. In the meantime, Marine Le Pen repeats that France is now ungovernable. Additional fuel for the presidential election in three years and we know that she is a candidate.

We take note and we will oppose, without compromisedeclared RN spokesperson Sébastien Chenu this Monday morning, We are not here to do back-of-the-house cooking, to go and negotiate behind the backs of the French some kind of alliances like perhaps the PS dreams of making one with Renaissance by dropping Mélenchon. We leave all that to them “.

The Macronist camp “is not dead”

The transfer of votes from the “Republican Front” benefited the Macronists, who have 168 seats, relegated to second position in the National Assembly, behind the New Popular Front, but ahead of the RN, and they fully intend to participate in a possible future coalition.

The Macronists will present “preconditions for any discussion” with a view to a majority, assured the party’s secretary general Stéphane Séjourné, elected deputy for Hauts-de-Seine.

For the president of the Modem François Bayrou, “no one has won” at the end of these legislative elections, where the voters first voted according to him in the second round to block the road to the National Rally.

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