Jordan Bardella wishes to run for the post of Prime Minister following the early legislative elections. What are his chances of achieving this?
While with the early legislative elections approaching, the scenario placing Jordan Bardella as future Prime Minister is still possible, the president of the National Rally assured during his press conference on June 24 that he was “the only credible and responsible alternative” to Emmanuel Macron and that his party is “ready” to govern. He promises to be the Prime Minister of all French people, including those who did not vote for his party.
His opponents believe, conversely, that Jordan Bardella is not ready to assume such a role. For Gérald Darmanin, on BFMTV, the RN leader’s policy resembles “tango”: “one step forward, two steps back”. “He is not ready for power,” judged the boss of Place Beauvau. Same story with Edouard Philippe. The former Prime Minister takes “a doubtful look at those who claim that they are ready when they have never managed anything”, he declared on June 18 during a trip to the Marne. Jordan Bardella being only 28 years old.
What result for Jordan Bardella in the legislative elections?
The RN appears in a position of strength for this approaching national election. According to an Ifop-Fiducial survey for LCI, Le Figaro And South Radio As of June 23, the National Rally has currently received 35.5% of voting intentions in the first round, followed by the NFP with 29%. The presidential camp is falling behind with only 21% of voting intentions.
Projections are also made by pollsters and all suggest that the RN would not obtain an absolute majority but rather a relative one. And in this case, it is impossible for the RN to govern the country. The government being responsible to Parliament, it must in fact correspond to the majority elected at the ballot box during the legislative elections and even more so in the event of a motion of censure. If a majority of deputies agree, they can indeed bring down any government, which will be the case if it is from the RN without having an absolute majority.
Jordan Bardella has already stated on numerous occasions that he only wants to be Prime Minister if he has an absolute majority. “We agree to form a government if we have the legitimacy to do so and if we have an absolute majority”; he said during his June 24 press conference. He assures that he does not want to go “15 days” to Matignon for “personal glory”. The 28-year-old MEP therefore wants to obtain at least 289 deputies out of the 577 in the Palais Bourbon.
Three priorities: purchasing power, immigration and security
The scenario of a Bardella Prime Minister, however, raises the question of the government that the MEP could constitute. According to an interview with World of Marine Le Pen, the party leader could choose people from outside the RN as ministers: “We are not denying ourselves anything. Jordan Bardella will choose the most competent people who share our philosophy,” she said . For his part, the president of the RN affirmed that he already had “his government in mind”, in an interview with JDD. Jordan Bardella also began to outline the measures he would put in place if elected Prime Minister.
Purchasing power
Jordan Bardella continues to promise a reduction in VAT on fuel, energy, electricity, gas and fuel oil if he becomes Prime Minister. He advocates “reconnecting with French electricity prices”.
During his press conference on June 24, Jordan Bardella also guaranteed that it would offer “the possibility for companies to increase wages without weighing on labor costs and competitiveness” by allowing “to increase wages of 10% without employer contributions for 5 years and up to three times the minimum wage.
Security and immigration
“Safety will be one of my first priorities,” said Jordan Bardella on BFMTV, Friday June 14. “I will vote in the first weeks of my action in Matignon on a security law which will cover penal policy, notably with the reestablishment of minimum sentences (…) I will eliminate family allowances for parents of repeat minors,” he said. he detailed. He also wants to put an end to the minority excuse and is in favor of the establishment of “short incarceration sentences” for minors.
During his conference on June 24, he said he was in favor of better “border protection”, the removal of the ground tax and the reestablishment of the “illegal residence offense”. He wants to remove “the obstacles to the expulsion of delinquents and criminals”, he assured. He also added that “dual nationals” would be prohibited from holding certain strategic positions in Defense if he becomes Prime Minister, wanting to reserve these for “French citizens”.
Furthermore, traveling to the Eurosatory show on June 19, Jordan Bardella promised to dissolve “all ultra-left and ultra-right organizations” if he came to power. “If tomorrow I am at the head of the country, I will have no form of tolerance towards those who engage in violence in our country,” assured the RN leader.
Economy
Jordan Bardella denounced before Medef, Thursday June 20, the government’s “budgetary unreason” and the “risk of economic decline”. He then wants to set up an “audit of the nation’s accounts” to “shed light on public finances and the unprecedented budgetary excesses of the outgoing power”.
The RN leader also specified that if he came to power, the RN would tackle certain tax loopholes such as that of “shipowners, which costs the State 5.6 billion euros”, he said. he explained on Europe 1. He also wants to transform the real estate wealth tax into a financial wealth tax. He also promised not to increase taxes and plans to introduce a “full tax share for the second child”.
Retirements
The MP wants to expand the existing possibilities for early departure according to the age of entry into working life and refuses any postponement of the retirement age. “I will allow those who started working before the age of 20 to leave with 40 years of contributions, with a legal retirement age of 60,” he detailed for BFMTV, Friday June 14. He announced, if he came to power, a repeal of the pension reform “from the fall”. A measure on which he has been accused of backtracking on several occasions. During his conference on June 24, he clarified his position: “French people who started working before the age of 20, who have 40 years of service, will be able to retire from the age of 60. For others, progressiveness will be implemented. artwork […] with a legal age of 62 and a number of annuities of up to 42 years of contributions”.
Accommodation
The RN has also made housing one of its priorities with the objective of “fewer standards and the abolition of the calendar on the ban on renting housing that consumes too much energy”. He advocates in particular the abandonment of the ban on renting housing considered as “thermal sieves” provided for in the Climate and Resilience law but also on reserving social housing for French nationals.
Education
Jordan Bardella stated during his press conference on June 24 that he wanted “a big bang of authority” at school from the start of the school year. This would involve the ban on mobile phones in schools, including high schools, the compulsory attendance of teachers and the experimentation of wearing a uniform, which the president of the RN is in favor of “introducing at school”. primary school but also middle school. He also promises reinforced support for teachers who are “threatened” or “under pressure” and the “suspension of family allowances and school scholarships” in the event of “serious disruptions”.
International politics
He also began to give his position on international issues and in particular on the question of the war in Ukraine. Jordan Bardella wants to “allow Ukraine to ensure its defense” and therefore to “have, both in ammunition and equipment, everything it needs to hold the front”. However, he refuses to “deliver in particular long-range missiles or weapons which could allow Ukraine to strike Russian territory” and to send French troops. It is clear to him that “the red line is cobelligerence”.
Jordan Bardella also assured that he does not intend to “call into question the commitments made by France on the international scene”. “There is a credibility issue with regard to our European partners and our NATO allies,” he declared at the Eurosatory defense exhibition in Villepinte.
Concerning the conflict in Gaza, he estimated during his press conference that recognizing a Palestinian state “as we speak would be recognizing terrorism.”